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Not everyone is using AI for everything

gabrielweinberg.com

501–510 of 565 posts

Re: Not everyone is using AI for everything

#501

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not wrong. But my statement is true across organizations I have worked with in the past year, several of them not AI-native.

You've worked as a hiring manager at several organizations in the past year?

They're LARPing

Re: Not everyone is using AI for everything

#502
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This would be expected. The corner cases people faced with PHP throughout the decades have been well documented on the internet for eons. Swift, not so much. It's relatively new. Looking at AI's abilities like an engineer's career span scaled about 10-20x of time makes it make a bit more sense. It's going to be worse at newer/niche things, intuitively - which is only going to get worse as it "learns" from garbage out…

> which is only going to get worse as it "learns" from garbage outputted by other LLMs moving forward You seem to assume that autoregressive pretraining (and unfiltered behavior cloning, maybe) are the only ways to improve LLM performance.

No. I'm just saying, there decades worth of more PHP discourse than there is swift discourse.

Re: Not everyone is using AI for everything

#503
post #109

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I assume it's because he is seeking to pay rent, food bills, and other expenses through employment.

I mean maybe that is because I live in a still mostly not failed state (Germany), but I can't imagine that these things would be _so bad_ that living in fear of saying the wrong thing would be something worth considering. Plus, and leaving that aside, I have my doubts that even if you did that, that that company would stay alive for very long. Reality has the habit of eventually ripping this kind of unproductively de…

> Reality has the habit of eventually ripping this kind of unproductively delusional people (like e.g. a boss that flips if you don't say the right word with regards to the current hype) to shreds eventually

"Eventually" yes, but while this phrase may have been about the stock market, it also applies to management: "the market can remain irrational for longer than you can remain solvent".

One concept I only learned a few years ago was the difference between "mistake theory" and "conflict theory". Rational decision-making is the former, political decision-making, including office politics, is the latter. It's important to know which of these kinds of battle you're fighting, or you'll make the wrong type of move.

Also, FWIW, I live in Germany and my unemployment insurance has run out because the job market is just that bad right now; I'm fortunate that I have enough passive income to support myself, but even then if my partner's unemployment insurance ever runs out I can't support both of us.

Re: Not everyone is using AI for everything

#504
post #230

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Did they look Ukrainian or Syrian? Germany let in millions of people over the last few years and never built enough housing.

This is totally incorrect. Germany is literally giving out housing for almost free. No, I'm not stupid or lying. And yes, it's true. It's just that this housing is not in Berlin.

"Built enough" may sound like the same thing as "giving out housing for almost free", but it isn't. Also, cheap temporary emergency housing for a sudden extra burst of refugees may be inappropriate for permanent occupancy, I believe this is an example, it's certainly containerised/temporary *something*: https://maps.app.goo.gl/HUyQS6Sc1w1Y8GUH6?g_st=ic

That said, an idea has come to mind: UK and Italy have had schemes where a home can be purchased for £1/€1 under the condition the new owner repairs them (the repairs would cost 20-150k). Given some of the really bad stock I've seen in some searches, this may be a good idea for Germany too.

Re: Not everyone is using AI for everything

#505

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What do you think privilege is?

A vague word that can be spun to your own perspective based on a tower of other vague words and personal values. I don’t think we’re talking about slaves are we?

It's slavery or nothing, eh? Whatever happened to nuance?

Re: Not everyone is using AI for everything

#506

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> A truthful, nuanced, well reasoned answer will be well received by an employer with a culture you want to work in. If you're into long shot betting AND your savings aren't running out while waiting to land a new job, that might be a good strategy

as a rule the interviewee should be assessing for goodness of fit, as well as the interviewer. If my simplified nuanced answer to why I limit my usage of LLMs was poorly received, I wouldn't want to take a job somewhere likely to make me miserable.

"Unless I was really excited for flipping burgers, the menu options, the new McKidney, non-working ice-cream machines, and the legacy of Ronald McDonald, I wouldn't want to take a job somewhere likely to make me miserable".

A lot of jobs don't work based on those criteria. In a bad job market, IT jobs don't either. Especially if it's your 20th application with no response.

Re: Not everyone is using AI for everything

#507

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not wrong. But my statement is true across organizations I have worked with in the past year, several of them not AI-native.

You've worked as a hiring manager at several organizations in the past year?

I said "with" and not "at". I was tasked with doing interviews and reshaping the interview process as multiple companies within the last 18 months through fractional roles, consulting and co-founding.

Re: Not everyone is using AI for everything

#508
post #195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That does sound like a bad org tho, sorry to say that. Not to disagree of course that time is limited, but in my experience, optimizing it this harshly leads to poor results, because eventually, you just get leapfrogged by reality. Hyper-optimized systems are brittle and can't really adapt to the market changing. But yeah, I guess they still need developers. Just doesn't sound like a fun job :D

Just trying to fix the misunderstanding: I am not saying that you will have a literal 25 seconds meeting with your boss's boss. I am just making a math argument taking typical orgchart ratios. So let me take this a step further. You want to meet your boss' boss for 10 minutes to present them something. 10 minutes of his time are an equivalent of more than 20 hours of your time. So if your initial idea was to "take ma…

> 10 minutes of his time are an equivalent of more than 20 hours of your time.

What does this even mean?

Re: Not everyone is using AI for everything

#509
post #239

I think the gap is because 1. For coding, Claude is amazing - mainly because of its curated skills and because massive amounts of working code has already been carefully labeled over the last decade or so via GitHub. And because with any Turing complete language, there is only so much one can do. But 2. For most other things, LLMs are fairly underwhelming. Research is usually mediocre. Try being rigorous and repeat y…

LLMs are always amazing doing stuff you're bad at. (And always underwhelming doing stuff you know.)
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