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US and Iran announce deal to end military operations

bbc.com

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Re: US and Iran announce deal to end military operations

#51

Post by ergocoder »

newaccountman2 wrote: post #37
ergocoder wrote: post #24

It's the last bump before I liquidate all my stocks. I predict that the crash will come at the end or the beginning of the next president which is likely democrat. Not that it's democrat's fault but democrat is more disciplined

That's like 2.5 years from now--you don't think crash will happen before then?

I think it may happen before then. That's why I'm thinking of liquidating it soon-ish. Trump is doing too much crazy things. He cannot prop up the market for that long.

I plan to put most of the money in US t-bill (4 week) to earn 3% for now.

Re: US and Iran announce deal to end military operations

#52

Post by 8note »

jeffbee wrote: post #17
woodruffw wrote: post #7

Are the terms of the deal public yet? If they're essentially a return to the status quo ante bellum, that would be a pretty embarrassing conclusion for the US (and would presumably further harden any belief within Iran that the only permanent regime-preserving solution involves accelerating the process of obtaining nuclear weapons).

It's much worse than that. This gives Iran de jure control of traffic in the strait.

iran has defacto control over traffic in the strait. what changes?

Re: US and Iran announce deal to end military operations

#54

Post by ergocoder »

mhb wrote: post #48
ergocoder wrote: post #24

It's the last bump before I liquidate all my stocks. I predict that the crash will come at the end or the beginning of the next president which is likely democrat. Not that it's democrat's fault but democrat is more disciplined

And what are you going to do with that money?

US t-bill (4w) until the market crashes. For 401K, I'll just move it to money market/bond.

We don't really need to maximize the profits all the time. Not losing the money is good too.

Re: US and Iran announce deal to end military operations

#55

Post by recroad »

theturtletalks wrote: post #42
compass_copium wrote: post #28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

From Al Jazeera: >According to remarks carried by the Tasnim news agency, Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said negotiations for a final deal will be held during a 60-day period, after verifying that the US implemented its commitments under the deal, including ending hostilities, lifting the blockade, and releasing frozen assets. So, it's an even worse position for the US than before launching the wa…

Didn’t Iran consider their previous US negotiations a sham? Why would they believe them this time? Feels like the US wants to approach them with these deals, reneg, and once Iran is like we don’t want anymore deals, then the US can point to them and be like, see they don’t want peace.

Iran was fully abiding by the JCPOA (Obama Iran deal) until Trump pulled out in his first term. Trump hates Obama so that was entirely out of spite.

What is surprising is how co-opted the Biden admin was by Israel, that they didn't even bother to even consider reentering it despite it being a Democratic party "win" when it was first announced.

Re: US and Iran announce deal to end military operations

#57

Post by recroad »

Amezarak wrote: post #49
woodruffw wrote: post #7

Are the terms of the deal public yet? If they're essentially a return to the status quo ante bellum, that would be a pretty embarrassing conclusion for the US (and would presumably further harden any belief within Iran that the only permanent regime-preserving solution involves accelerating the process of obtaining nuclear weapons).

Iran had already passed the IAEA red-line of enriching uranium to 60%. They had already accomplished virtually all the hard parts of building a bomb. https://fordow.net/blog/posts/enriched-uranium-proliferation... Is a good explainer about uranium enrichment. > The most alarming aspect of 60% enrichment is how close it brings a country to weapons-grade material 4344. The enrichment work required to move from 60% to 9…

You left out the part that they went past the 3.5% after Trump pulled out of the deal. While they were in it, they were complying fully as per IAEA and the US State department themselves.

Re: US and Iran announce deal to end military operations

#58

Post by ergocoder »

LPisGood wrote: post #34
ergocoder wrote: post #24

It's the last bump before I liquidate all my stocks. I predict that the crash will come at the end or the beginning of the next president which is likely democrat. Not that it's democrat's fault but democrat is more disciplined

I have some thoughts on that. It’s possible that the current administration’s lack of oversight has artificially propped up the stock market. If the next president decides to return to a more traditional rules based structure, the market will probably react very poorly. US debt is also getting more expensive and interest is ballooning. Making the country less desirable to the most skilled immigrants and eroding the c…

The swing of the market based on the president's crazy tweets is just insane. This cannot go on for much longer. I will be parking my money at a safer place
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