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A 'cold blob' in the Atlantic could be a sign of AMOC shutdown

cnn.com

21–30 of 429 posts

Re: A 'cold blob' in the Atlantic could be a sign of AMOC shutdown

#21
post #6
post #3

[flagged]

No it's the frog boil effect. It's a staggering amount of change, it's just over a whole human lifetime so most people don't really clock it. Elites are supposed to do something about it, but mostly because of corruption and ideology they aren't.

Classic normalcy bias. AMOC collapse catastrophe is literally unimaginable for at least 80% of the population.

Re: A 'cold blob' in the Atlantic could be a sign of AMOC shutdown

#22
post #10
post #3

[flagged]

Would it be more scientific to say it is sure it will happen? I suspect the opposite is happening, too many times an environmental catastrophe has been predicted in too certain terms and has not happened, which is why many people lost trust. And if you think that we shouldn't try to predict but only inform about what has already happened that seems even stranger to me.

It's a refusal to engage with the reported information, not an argument.

Note that the general sentiment on HN when it comes to other topics is that every slight simplification in reporting on science is unforgivable, Gell-Mann-amnesia-effect, bla bla...

For example, it is clickbait to say "cancer" instead of "some types of cancer which we further need to specify" in headline.

But it is of course impossible to take scientists seriously when their results are reported as "they observed X, and are there are indications that it could mean Y".

Who says "could"? It's way too risky to engage with people who don't tell me exactly what to think!

Re: A 'cold blob' in the Atlantic could be a sign of AMOC shutdown

#24
post #3

[flagged]

And once it has indisputably happened, and the destructive consequences are impossible to ignore, the same people and institutions who spent decades complaining about "could" and "might" will immediately pivot to "there was nothing we could have done".

Re: A 'cold blob' in the Atlantic could be a sign of AMOC shutdown

#25
post #7
post #3

[flagged]

And yet millions of people still play the lottery. I don’t think it’s as simple as uncertainty. Nobody wants to change their lifestyle to avert climate change. People prefer carrots to sticks.

It's that the marginal benefit of individual action accrues mostly to other people, or (on a national scale) to other nations. The fraction of benefit that accrues locally isn't enough to justify the cost (unlike, say, the ban on CFCs, or control of local pollution.)

So absent something enforcing prohibition of defection from a collective action, the collective action doesn't happen.

You want to actually solve the problem? Find such an enforcement mechanism (CO2 tariffs, perhaps), reduce the cost of solution (sufficiently cheap non-fossil energy), or find another solution that doesn't require global cooperation (albedo modification, say).

A solution that just requires everyone to get along and cooperate to their marginal net detriment doesn't seem like it will work.

Re: A 'cold blob' in the Atlantic could be a sign of AMOC shutdown

#26
Meh who cares? Let it all burn and flood. Earth gets a fresh start, and hopefully whatever "intelligent" species evolves to be dominant in the next 5-10 million years is a better custodian. Rinse and repeat until that's the case. Heck, who knows if this is actually the 1st or 100th iteration...

Re: A 'cold blob' in the Atlantic could be a sign of AMOC shutdown

#27
post #17
post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Would it be more scientific to say it is sure it will happen? I suspect the opposite is happening, too many times an environmental catastrophe has been predicted in too certain terms and has not happened, which is why many people lost trust. And if you think that we shouldn't try to predict but only inform about what has already happened that seems even stranger to me.

All is good. until it’s not.

[deleted]

Re: A 'cold blob' in the Atlantic could be a sign of AMOC shutdown

#28
post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Would it be more scientific to say it is sure it will happen? I suspect the opposite is happening, too many times an environmental catastrophe has been predicted in too certain terms and has not happened, which is why many people lost trust. And if you think that we shouldn't try to predict but only inform about what has already happened that seems even stranger to me.

It's a refusal to engage with the reported information, not an argument. Note that the general sentiment on HN when it comes to other topics is that every slight simplification in reporting on science is unforgivable, Gell-Mann-amnesia-effect, bla bla... For example, it is clickbait to say "cancer" instead of "some types of cancer which we further need to specify" in headline. But it is of course impossible to take s…

This ^

Re: A 'cold blob' in the Atlantic could be a sign of AMOC shutdown

#29

Meh who cares? Let it all burn and flood. Earth gets a fresh start, and hopefully whatever "intelligent" species evolves to be dominant in the next 5-10 million years is a better custodian. Rinse and repeat until that's the case. Heck, who knows if this is actually the 1st or 100th iteration...

The rich, who have disproportionately contributed to the current crisis can buy and relocate to safety, while the poor will be hit the hardest.
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