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Statement on US government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5

anthropic.com

511–520 of 1001 posts

Re: Statement on US government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#511

I think we should see this as simply silly behavior by a government. Export control is not an effective tool for controlling a consumer facing technology developers everywhere want to use (see:VPNs) so there was no good faith policy justification for imposing an export control. This is an administration that seems to be keeping track of who its friends are and aren't, and likes to be the center of every story. They a…

Silly or not, precedent matters and labeling it silly is rhetorical. The impact is going to be critically important.

Re: Statement on US government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#513

I think we should see this as simply silly behavior by a government. Export control is not an effective tool for controlling a consumer facing technology developers everywhere want to use (see:VPNs) so there was no good faith policy justification for imposing an export control. This is an administration that seems to be keeping track of who its friends are and aren't, and likes to be the center of every story. They a…

I think this is also overly naive. We live in a world of hardware attestation and passkeys, the baseline requirements to use new models can increase to cryptocurrency-levels of KYC. If this becomes the new norm (which it easily could), then the best models will impose increasingly restrictive requirements.

Re: Statement on US government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#514

I see a lot of analysis here that this is good for Ant, but I beg to differ, it's a very bad place to be as a company serving enterprises when deployment risk is now present. This might delay Ant's financial goals in their ability to monetize Fable and other Mythos class models.

I would bet they can't afford to operate them at the advertised price and this gives them a way to save face.

Re: Statement on US government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#516

"The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any *foreign national*, whether inside or outside the United States, including *foreign national* Anthropic employees." This press release is odd - it says that the export control was imposed to stop foreign nationals from using Fable / Mythos, and then goes on to talk abou…

Based on all I know about Deemed Exports wrt software and current US controls on software Deemed Exports, your read is spot on.

The phrasing of the foreign nationals implies a Deemed Export control, which is already in place for software for stuff like drones or space satcomms.

If it's a Deemed Export control, it's a strategic position and not a knee jerk reaction about cybersecurity threats.

It's a coherent read too; if Fable can solve coding and build biological weapons (X to doubt) - well then terminal guidance and autonomous drone controls should be a piece of cake for it and that software is already under Deemed Export restrictions.

Re: Statement on US government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#518
post #156

Sovereign AI is about to get hot. It's difficult to predict this administrations actions, but given it included employees that has to be a huge risk for Google, where Deepmind is based in London. Cohere (Canada) and Mistral (France) are going to get a lot of interest.

If the US gov does try to limit all frontier models from being used outside the US, I wonder how that would go with Google and Deepmind?

Re: Statement on US government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#519

So many comments here missing the big picture, and just gleefully pointing out that Anthropic got what they deserved, or that this is the natural culmination of some kind of marketing stunt. The real story here is that this may be the beginning of governments restricting the availability of strong LLMs to the public, to you. Fable was the strongest model on the market, and the US government has told you you can't use…

Personally, I assume that AI labs like Anthropic are high value targets for spies from other nations. I also assume that some of those spies have already had success in getting the model weights / source code / other such secrets.

So I doubt this action alone is enough to really stop other nations from getting access to state of the art AI. I think the US would have to go much further to really stop other nations from getting access to state of the art AI.

Re: Statement on US government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#520
It seems like both sides of this are intentionally interpreting the other's statements and actions in the least charitable way, as part of their political maneuvering. I wouldn't be surprised if Anthropic's overreaction here is intended to create damages which they can then sue the government over.
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