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Claude Fable 5

anthropic.com

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Re: Claude Fable 5

#762
I recently switched off Max flat rate to Enterprise API pricing and I went from 200/mo to 10k/mo with the same usage pattern on Opus. They don’t offer flat rate to enterprises.

So Fable would cost me 20k/mo at Enterprise rates. That’s around the average cost of a loaded SWE in the USA. “But I’m >2x more productive” doesn’t justify doubling the opex of the Software/IT department for most companies when revenue isn’t even up 10%.

I switched to DeepSeek v4 Pro with OpenCode and am on track for a few hundred dollars of spend this month.

Rewriting your stack from Ruby to Go in 2 days where it would’ve taken 6 months is impressive and fun. But that isn’t upping revenue.

Iterating on net new business features and ideas that are niche that the LLM isn’t trained for are much harder. Is 20x the token cost worth it there?

Re: Claude Fable 5

#763
post #584

> In light of the ability of recent models to accelerate their own development, we’ve implemented new interventions that limit Claude’s effectiveness for requests targeting frontier LLM development (for example, on building pretraining pipelines, distributed training infrastructure, or ML accelerator design). Using Claude to develop competing models already violates our Terms of Service, but enforcing this restrictio…

But Chinese models will poison your output if you ask them about Tiananmen Square! That's not good, so poisoning everyone's output without telling them is the only way to prevent that. Come on guys, why can't everyone just be there for the good guy?

[dead]

Re: Claude Fable 5

#764
Costs (USD per 1M tokens), per openrouter.ai models api

  +-------------+----------+----------+------------+---------+---------------------------+----------------+----------------+-----------------------+------------+
  |             | Fable 5  | Opus 4.8 | Sonnet 4.6 | GPT 5.5 | Gemini 3.5 Flash (High)   | Gemini 3.1 Pro | DeepSeek 4 Pro | Xiaomi MiMo 2.5 Pro  | MiniMax M3 |
  +-------------+----------+----------+------------+---------+---------------------------+----------------+----------------+-----------------------+------------+
  | Input       | $10.00   | $5.00    | $3.00      | $5.00   | $1.50                     | $2.00          | $0.435         | $0.435                | $0.30      |
  | Cache Read  | $1.00    | $0.50    | $0.30      | $0.50   | $0.15                     | $0.20          | $0.003625      | $0.0036               | $0.06      |
  | Output      | $50.00   | $25.00   | $15.00     | $30.00  | $9.00                     | $12.00         | $0.87          | $0.87                 | $1.20      |
  | Cache Write | $12.50   | $6.25    | $3.75      | N/A     | $0.083333                 | $0.375         | N/A            | N/A                   | N/A        |
  +-------------+----------+----------+------------+---------+---------------------------+----------------+----------------+-----------------------+------------+

Re: Claude Fable 5

#765

> In light of the ability of recent models to accelerate their own development, we’ve implemented new interventions that limit Claude’s effectiveness for requests targeting frontier LLM development (for example, on building pretraining pipelines, distributed training infrastructure, or ML accelerator design). Using Claude to develop competing models already violates our Terms of Service, but enforcing this restrictio…

Just so everyone is aware. Anthropic has been sabotaging AI researchers and their codebases and shadow-nerfing accounts for several years at this point. This isn't new, but they hadn't disclosed it until now. Likely because it is getting to the point where it's too noticeable, or they're concerned about it leaking from employees.

Re: Claude Fable 5

#766

I recently switched off Max flat rate to Enterprise API pricing and I went from 200/mo to 10k/mo with the same usage pattern on Opus. They don’t offer flat rate to enterprises. So Fable would cost me 20k/mo at Enterprise rates. That’s around the average cost of a loaded SWE in the USA. “But I’m >2x more productive” doesn’t justify doubling the opex of the Software/IT department for most companies when revenue isn’t e…

> Is 20x the token cost worth it there?

No it doesn’t and will not be. Companies have not realised the cost yet, wait till the end of the financial year and you’ll see a different direction.

DeepSeek v4 is pretty decent, and probably on par with sonnet. I see a future of hybrid models where opus or fable might be used only for complicated features or bugs, but general day to day would be DeepSeek or whatever good models that will be released later.

Re: Claude Fable 5

#767

I recently switched off Max flat rate to Enterprise API pricing and I went from 200/mo to 10k/mo with the same usage pattern on Opus. They don’t offer flat rate to enterprises. So Fable would cost me 20k/mo at Enterprise rates. That’s around the average cost of a loaded SWE in the USA. “But I’m >2x more productive” doesn’t justify doubling the opex of the Software/IT department for most companies when revenue isn’t e…

>I switched to DeepSeek v4 Pro with OpenCode and am on track for a few hundred dollars of spend this month.

I was about to say that. Deepseek is just magnitudes cheaper and absolutely good enough for most things. Anthropic and co just try to milk the cow while its possible. If they cant compete with Deepseek pricing I do not see a bright future for them.

Re: Claude Fable 5

#768

I recently switched off Max flat rate to Enterprise API pricing and I went from 200/mo to 10k/mo with the same usage pattern on Opus. They don’t offer flat rate to enterprises. So Fable would cost me 20k/mo at Enterprise rates. That’s around the average cost of a loaded SWE in the USA. “But I’m >2x more productive” doesn’t justify doubling the opex of the Software/IT department for most companies when revenue isn’t e…

I think you are broadly correct, but just to pushback on a few points: (1) Ability to solve hard problems in days vs weeks as immense value (2) Back-end improvements (if done right), should improve platform speed, stability, scalability etc. which should have revenue implication (3) Ability to on-board a SWE equivalent entity in minutes, have them work on a specific hard problem and then off-board them in minutes can have value

All of the above, of course, depends upon Fable consistently being a 2x-3x SWE at minimum.

Re: Claude Fable 5

#769
post #534

I've spent enough time with this now in Claude Code (and Claude.ai and Claude Code for web) to have an opinion on Fable 5: it's a beast. I'm throwing some VERY difficult problems at at - things I've been dragging my heels on for months - and it's crunching through them very happily. One that I'm willing to share (albeit from just a week ago) - I built a Python library last week that bundles MicroPython compiled to WA…

> It's possible Opus or GPT-5.5 could have done this too, I've not tried the exact same sequence. The Fable vibes are good here, though.

And that's the thing. These comparisons are all gut feelings. I'm missing objective unbiased measurements to actually have real comparisons between different models, their different generations, or even just the convention that everybody adds "you are an expert software engineer" and "don't make mistakes" to their prompts because they think it improves anything. Nobody knows if it actually does.

Re: Claude Fable 5

#770
people are mentioning 10K/mo 20K/mo can someone please pull out a measuring stick and give some examples of what they are doing exactly?

Coming from computing, I always liked the idea that measuring is possible and good practice

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