Earlier quoted context omitted.
Reading about it in books and watching anime won’t prevent them from going functionally extinct in less than 200 years.
No one cares. Japanese culture today is nothing like it was 200 years ago.
India's surprise baby bust
891–900 of 1001 posts
Re: India's surprise baby bust
#892Earlier quoted context omitted.
I have a different pet explanation from the other replies here, and I honestly don't get why it's not talked about more. Basically, our economic reality and expectations have come into conflict with biology and human lifespan. If you want a secured dignified life and basic prerequisites to starting a family, every year that takes a little longer. And these days, almost everyone wants that dignified middle class life…
This is really the message of Abundance . If you want people to have kids, you need to make sure they are economically secure by the time they are of childbearing age... which means before they are 30. To do that, you cannot have supply constrained zero-sum shortage anywhere in society. It means that the cost of an apartment needs to be at-or-below the cost to build that apartment so people can just save up and buy o…
Re: India's surprise baby bust
#893Earlier quoted context omitted.
That's not actual growth though, that's just measuring the same business in a different unit worth 0.97 of the old unit. The business can be the same size.
The question asked was “Why is it bad to earn a constant (in nominal terms) profit rather than an increasing profit.” The size of the business is irrelevant to this question. I answered the question, the short answer is ‘inflation’. When responding to a question, I choose to answer the question the person asked instead of another question they didn’t ask.
Re: India's surprise baby bust
#894Earlier quoted context omitted.
Despite that, China has a fertility rate of 0.93, which is among the lowest in the world, and certainly much lower than the US (1.6). So it doesn't seem that that cultural difference boosts the fertility rate all that much.
china destroyed its fertility rate with the one-child policy. so that is not comparable.
And of course China's fertility rate now is even lower than it was at any point when the one child policy was in effect.
Re: India's surprise baby bust
#895What's the strong case against population dwindling other than supporting aging population? Given the AI armageddon, it just makes sense to reduce the population. If there's less population, we need less production and less workers. Of course, countries have to deal with oldest population for a brief period of time.
Either way it seems dumb to structure our entire economy and future around elder care. I guess that is what you get when people older than 60 have 65% of the wealth and people under 40 have 7%.
Re: India's surprise baby bust
#896This has happened to every single society [*] as it industrializes [0], and offering extensive support and incentives to parents (e.g. as has been tried in Scandinavian countries) does very little to reverse this trend [1, 2]. My hypothesis is that as societies industrialize, they afford their population more and more activities that are simply more fun and rewarding than having children. So many people I know put of…
Re: India's surprise baby bust
#897Re: India's surprise baby bust
#898Earlier quoted context omitted.
I have a different pet explanation from the other replies here, and I honestly don't get why it's not talked about more. Basically, our economic reality and expectations have come into conflict with biology and human lifespan. If you want a secured dignified life and basic prerequisites to starting a family, every year that takes a little longer. And these days, almost everyone wants that dignified middle class life…
This is really the message of Abundance . If you want people to have kids, you need to make sure they are economically secure by the time they are of childbearing age... which means before they are 30. To do that, you cannot have supply constrained zero-sum shortage anywhere in society. It means that the cost of an apartment needs to be at-or-below the cost to build that apartment so people can just save up and buy o…
Re: India's surprise baby bust
#899I'm in the Netherlands, and my partner and I don't want kids for a multitude of reasons, but the biggest one for us and many other friends of ours is the obscene costs of having a child. Even the ones that really want kids simply cannot afford to have one, because the price of living is simply absurd. I'm extremely fortunate to be working at a large tech company and I have good money, but even with my income having a…
Very attractive numbers. I should look into the daycare business. I am guessing the people running daycare centers probably have several tax incentives too.
Re: India's surprise baby bust
#900One interesting factor about India is the minimum age of marriage. For males, it’s 21. For females, it’s 18. There have been attempts since at least 2021 to increase the age for females to 21, and I’ve talked with some that thought it was 21. Marriages below the legal ages definitely do sometimes occur. Personally, I think setting it to 21 for males is unwise, and setting it to 21 for females would be sheer madness.…
Early marriage basically kills job opportunities and subsequently female workforce participation is lower.