If you have any doubts, I highly recommend to review the stock price history of GPRO(GoPro), BYND (Beyond Meat), CGC (Canopy Growth), TLRY (Tilray). These are just some somewhat recent IPOs that come to mind, I am sure I am forgetting some. In the case of GPRO, look up their first quarterly reports after the IPO. Pure comedy gold.
This comparison is nuts and invalid. Each of Anthropic/OpenAI/SpaceX has more revenue than the mentioned companies combined at IPO time. Doomers gonna doom
S&P 500 rejects SpaceX, also blocking entry for OpenAI and Anthropic
341–350 of 524 posts
Re: S&P 500 rejects SpaceX, also blocking entry for OpenAI and Anthropic
#342Letting new stocks marinate in the market and get 4 quarters of SEC filings along with following all the GAAP accounting practices will definitely help evaluate them before inclusion. The last large boom/bust cycle had a couple of companies, at least, that were doing illegal things. I'm not stating that these three are, just that nobody knows and the process should play out. I do wonder if any of these three companie…
> just that nobody knows I don't understand. Guilty until proven innocent, because they... are too successful? What could possibly be the generalizable idea here? Should we have a speed limit for too successful companies, even if they might be doing super valuable work? Who would we trust to be the judge of the potential havoc that bad capital allocation in such a moment might cause? EDIT: To be more clear, I don't h…
It’s not active rejection, they simply don’t meet the criteria to join the S&P 500 yet. The inclusion rules don’t completely prevent garbage stocks from being added, but it helps keep out the most egregious frauds, but even then an Enron will happen every so often.
Re: S&P 500 rejects SpaceX, also blocking entry for OpenAI and Anthropic
#343Letting new stocks marinate in the market and get 4 quarters of SEC filings along with following all the GAAP accounting practices will definitely help evaluate them before inclusion. The last large boom/bust cycle had a couple of companies, at least, that were doing illegal things. I'm not stating that these three are, just that nobody knows and the process should play out. I do wonder if any of these three companie…
CFO was at Bird (a SPAC flop) and CEO was previously charged by the SEC with a felony... for cooking the books.
Everyone wants you to believe that a giant wafer is the future (and soon enough layers of wafers), but a P/E of $500, just doesn't make sense for a company selling AI fast tokens.
Especially with a whole bunch of other solutions just waiting for tapout and competing with everyone else for more and more memory allocations to be able to hold the models.
Re: S&P 500 rejects SpaceX, also blocking entry for OpenAI and Anthropic
#344Letting new stocks marinate in the market and get 4 quarters of SEC filings along with following all the GAAP accounting practices will definitely help evaluate them before inclusion. The last large boom/bust cycle had a couple of companies, at least, that were doing illegal things. I'm not stating that these three are, just that nobody knows and the process should play out. I do wonder if any of these three companie…
> just that nobody knows I don't understand. Guilty until proven innocent, because they... are too successful? What could possibly be the generalizable idea here? Should we have a speed limit for too successful companies, even if they might be doing super valuable work? Who would we trust to be the judge of the potential havoc that bad capital allocation in such a moment might cause? EDIT: To be more clear, I don't h…
Re: S&P 500 rejects SpaceX, also blocking entry for OpenAI and Anthropic
#345Earlier quoted context omitted.
You'll eventually get exposure to it when it gets added in 12 months. Unless there are better profitability criteria. Ultimately it's all about market returns. If other indexes add it and outperform then eventually money will shift to those funds that do better.
What do you mean "better profitability criteria"? I don't want an index to exclude companies on the basis of profitability. I want it to hold the market. (I also don't want them to create special exceptions. The S&P 500 has pre-existing inclusion criteria, and I'm glad they're sticking to their rules.)
OK, then put your money in VTI/VTSAX instead of a S&P 500 fund. I own some VTI and also some FXAIX, you can do the same thing and choose which index to buy.
Re: S&P 500 rejects SpaceX, also blocking entry for OpenAI and Anthropic
#346Earlier quoted context omitted.
Why is government seizing data centers a good thing?
If you work through the scenarios, we're going to end up enacting heavy protectionism and stimulus on US AI companies to keep the economy from imploding. We could do this with stock in AI companies (like Bernie is pushing), but if the government pays for that stock it becomes a dump target paying out to oligarchs and the AI companies become "too big to fail." If the government owns the data centers, the people profit…
Re: S&P 500 rejects SpaceX, also blocking entry for OpenAI and Anthropic
#347Earlier quoted context omitted.
Why is government seizing data centers a good thing?
If you work through the scenarios, we're going to end up enacting heavy protectionism and stimulus on US AI companies to keep the economy from imploding. We could do this with stock in AI companies (like Bernie is pushing), but if the government pays for that stock it becomes a dump target paying out to oligarchs and the AI companies become "too big to fail." If the government owns the data centers, the people profit…
Re: S&P 500 rejects SpaceX, also blocking entry for OpenAI and Anthropic
#348Earlier quoted context omitted.
The software that most accountants use is leaning into AI as hard as it can and unlike coders, accountants are being sold the benefits but can’t directly see the shortcomings and don’t have the programming know how to engage with the technical nuance. Like many other sectors quality is gradually turning to slops as people “let the AI do it”.
Beautiful - I can’t wait for the lawsuits/criminal prosecutions and finger pointing.
It blows my mind how hard lean into AI.
Re: S&P 500 rejects SpaceX, also blocking entry for OpenAI and Anthropic
#349Stocks and money. It's so boring. I will go drive my old German car now, and get a bit drunk in a bottle of Nebbiolo while listening to some French lunatic with a piano. Enjoy your trip to Mars and your self driving toy cars. The world is off its rails. Bit time.
just be sure do it in that order and not the other way around
Re: S&P 500 rejects SpaceX, also blocking entry for OpenAI and Anthropic
#350*People who justify stealing from others by lazily giving a small pittance away according to a list some other guy showed them and they thought about for 5 minutes.