Earlier quoted context omitted.
Edited that claim, and made several clarifications elsewhere. The whole point of this analysis is that outrage is unjustified on the basis of two totally statistically unremarkable releases that no one would have remarked on pre-AI (my further proof of this is that there was a pre-AI remarkably broken release, and no one did comment!) and zero positive evidence outside cherry-picked anecdotes for any negative impact.…
There is a lot more context to the outrage which is missing from your analysis. People have multiple reasons to be mad at AI usage, you mention some of them in your introduction, and you put a (statistically insignificant) measure on only one of them. In your analysis you have shown that exactly one of these reasons is anecdotal. That does not mean they are wrong, and it especially does not mean they are unjustified.…
This was actually the convincing one for me though. “Did AI increase the rsync bug rate? Dunno, can’t tell yet” seems like a fine conclusion to me. Plenty of people in this thread and previous ones on the topic seem convinced one way or another, so it’s nice to see actual numbers.