Earlier quoted context omitted.
Sorry for nitpicking, but: > If nukes were not invented yet, would it really be a good idea to build and sell them as fast as possible (in peace time, no less)? Arguably, yes.
In this world we've had an inocculation event against use of nukes. Two were dropped, people have seen how abhorrent their use is and collectively decided that they shouldn't be used. If in the WW2 Japan also had nukes (and delivery systems for them) they'd probably have retaliated in kind and US wouldn't let that slide too and it would have continued for some time.
When AI Builds Itself: Our progress toward recursive self-improvement
701–710 of 738 posts
Re: When AI Builds Itself: Our progress toward recursive self-improvement
#702Earlier quoted context omitted.
It occurs to me this pattern might be the average code we humans have produced. We all have made those quick fixes, copy-pastas, and dirty hacks... they learned it somewhere! I also assume that some of the behavior is an artifact of their training regime.
In my case, where I see it most often is when the LLM has to rework something multiple times, and the feedback loop is vague (especially when all I have to give it is "no error messages, but it's still broken"). It seems like after the third or fourth try it just kinda goes off the rails. I find that the one-shot quality tends to be a little better, if the slot machine happened to work correctly that time.
Re: When AI Builds Itself: Our progress toward recursive self-improvement
#703Earlier quoted context omitted.
That sounds like a your-system issue. I hit Win+E (admittedly on an old Win10 box) and it instantly pops up an explorer window.
Try win11
Re: When AI Builds Itself: Our progress toward recursive self-improvement
#704Earlier quoted context omitted.
In this world we've had an inocculation event against use of nukes. Two were dropped, people have seen how abhorrent their use is and collectively decided that they shouldn't be used. If in the WW2 Japan also had nukes (and delivery systems for them) they'd probably have retaliated in kind and US wouldn't let that slide too and it would have continued for some time.
In that case >2 nukes would have been dropped, both US and Japan would be hurting, people would have seen how abhorrent their use is and collectively decided that they shouldn't be used.
This is a maybe. What we’ve seen so far, no two nuclear superpowers ever nuked each other, as they know both will suffer.
Re: When AI Builds Itself: Our progress toward recursive self-improvement
#705I don't quite understand the intent of such article other than to promote themselves given an odd timing that the company is planning on going public, so I can only conclude that this is just part of the IPO roadshow. LLMs certainly have made significant changes to our lives, but I haven't yet to see any extraordinary improvement it brought to me which makes me skeptical about their claims. _if_ it solves many of our…
1. Anthropic is an AI company. they want to get to AGI before anyone else ~~so they can lock the doors behind them~~ to ensure the supremacy of an aligned AGI that serves humankind. RSI unlocks the most value for them.
2. doing bioscience is slow and capital intensive. robotics lags way behind, so that's a lot of lab techs swishing flasks and plating petri dishes. they're happy to stay in silico, but there's very little productive research you can do without in vivo/in vitro experiments.
Re: When AI Builds Itself: Our progress toward recursive self-improvement
#706Earlier quoted context omitted.
Honestly, not really. We can have a philosophical debate about work, the history of work and its relationship to human psychology in the 21st century but the bottom line is that there are 8+ billion people on the planet and, of those who are "working age", the vast majority of people, lacking meaningful capital, can only secure income by selling their time and labor. There's absolutely no evidence that if we come up…
> the vast majority of people, lacking meaningful capital, can only secure income by selling their time and labor It's just time and it's the only things humans value. The only way to provide value for another person is to use your time to do something faster than they could do it with their time. That's it. There is no other way to secure income outside of inheritance or charity which is just receiving something of…
Time is a factor, but it doesn't seem like that's what you're talking about.
Re: When AI Builds Itself: Our progress toward recursive self-improvement
#707Re: When AI Builds Itself: Our progress toward recursive self-improvement
#708Earlier quoted context omitted.
> if AI coded software works correctly, maybe it doesn't matter? The problem isn't the amount of code, it's how fitting/unfitting the abstractions are. Wrong abstractions are bugs in waiting. If there's much code with wrong abstractions, future change becomes difficult. Source: me, I've created many bad abstractions and they led to much pain...
Yeah. Its kind of strange - claude is great at some tasks, but it seems really rubbish at coming up with good abstractions a lot of the time. I've often caught it making a conceptual mistake (like "X cannot do Y") - then spending hundreds of lines working around an issue that doesn't actually exist. Its also really bad at inventing and leaning on invariants. I make rules in my code all the time - "by the time we get…
When I eventually read through the current state of the upload processing code it was like an absurd tree of checks on checks on fallbacks on triple checks added in response to whatever bug I reported in a bizarrely additive way and could be massively simplified (which would also make it less brittle to edge cases that then demanded more checks and workarounds).
The other issue is that for the upload API, there is documentation but not for every little bug or edge case so each time the model "wakes up" and loads everything into context it sees that crazy web of checks and edge cases as the only source of truth for the API so is hesitant to touch anything unless 100% necessary which then leads to more conservative behavior of additive code which makes the problem worse over time.
Codex seems a bit better but I still have to guide it towards proper abstractions/refactors to avoid that piling on cruft effect.
Re: When AI Builds Itself: Our progress toward recursive self-improvement
#709Earlier quoted context omitted.
Good thing the MAUD Committee didn't listen and repeatedly pushed the US who just wanted to make power with atomic piles and didn't even think it was possible to make a weapon. Mind you, there was no complete working device until after the Nazi's surrendered, so that's a moot point - and the USSR only had their program because of various Europeans on the US project passing their work (and others) back to the USSR ...…
> there was no complete working device until after the Nazi's surrendered Isn't an argument. If the Nazi has gotten it first they'd have used it and likely won. Others would have surrendered in the face of the overwhelming power.
You may as well say Japan would have made a weapon from their atomic pile program.
Seriously, get a grip on the facts of the day.
Re: When AI Builds Itself: Our progress toward recursive self-improvement
#710I don't quite understand the intent of such article other than to promote themselves given an odd timing that the company is planning on going public, so I can only conclude that this is just part of the IPO roadshow. LLMs certainly have made significant changes to our lives, but I haven't yet to see any extraordinary improvement it brought to me which makes me skeptical about their claims. _if_ it solves many of our…