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SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P

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Re: SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P

#12
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What was the common misconception?

> What was the common misconception? That the rule change was a done deal. The pitch was some shadowy financial cabal forcing everyone’s retirement savings into SpaceX (which would not have been true even if S&P voted to include, but that’s a separate topic). The top comment and most of its subthreads are run-of-the-mill alarmism.

> The top comment and most of its subthreads are run-of-the-mill alarmism.

Worth considering:

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prevention_paradox

And the rules for the NASDAQ 100 were changed, as were MSCI and CRSP:

* https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/some-indexes-accelerate-e...

Re: SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P

#14
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What was the common misconception?

> What was the common misconception? That the rule change was a done deal. The pitch was some shadowy financial cabal forcing everyone’s retirement savings into SpaceX (which would not have been true even if S&P voted to include, but that’s a separate topic). The top comment and most of its subthreads are run-of-the-mill alarmism.

>> What was the common misconception?

> That the rule change was a done deal.

What are you talking about? The rule has already been changed in the NASDAQ. That makes it a done deal.

Anything changed can always be undone, but to be clear it has already happened. That makes it a done deal.

Re: SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P

#15
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What was the common misconception?

> What was the common misconception? That the rule change was a done deal. The pitch was some shadowy financial cabal forcing everyone’s retirement savings into SpaceX (which would not have been true even if S&P voted to include, but that’s a separate topic). The top comment and most of its subthreads are run-of-the-mill alarmism.

It seems to me like there's a fair amount to be concerned about, I wouldn't consider myself an expert on finance by any means so if you have some explanation of why it's not that bad I'd love to hear it.

Two other indices changed their rules to allow these companies specifically. Pensions and retirement funds rely on these indices to have continual, stable growth. Often the people whose money is being invested don't even have control over its allocation into these funds.

Coupled with the precarious state of the economy due to all the money already flowing through AI, changing the rules to throw retirement fund money into brand new extremely highly valued stocks with P/E ratios in the hundreds seems like a recipe for disaster. It reminds me of subprime mortgages.

Re: SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P

#16

The amount of misinformation around this topic was absolutely nuts over the past few days. Good rule of thumb: if a YouTuber or other influencer was pitching doom and relaying this rule change by S&P as a fait accompli , stop following them. (It was a common misconception on this thread: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48364055 .)

S&P wasn't fait accompli, but the NASDAQ 100 was

Re: SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P

#17

The amount of misinformation around this topic was absolutely nuts over the past few days. Good rule of thumb: if a YouTuber or other influencer was pitching doom and relaying this rule change by S&P as a fait accompli , stop following them. (It was a common misconception on this thread: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48364055 .)

S&P wasn't fait accompli, but the NASDAQ 100 was

> S&P wasn't fait accompli, but the NASDAQ 100 was

Sure. Nobody was properly making this distinction in social media, including on HN. Particularly with respect to the differences in scale and purpose between the NASDAQ 100 and S&P 500.

Re: SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P

#18
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> What was the common misconception? That the rule change was a done deal. The pitch was some shadowy financial cabal forcing everyone’s retirement savings into SpaceX (which would not have been true even if S&P voted to include, but that’s a separate topic). The top comment and most of its subthreads are run-of-the-mill alarmism.

It seems to me like there's a fair amount to be concerned about, I wouldn't consider myself an expert on finance by any means so if you have some explanation of why it's not that bad I'd love to hear it. Two other indices changed their rules to allow these companies specifically. Pensions and retirement funds rely on these indices to have continual, stable growth. Often the people whose money is being invested don't…

> Two other indices changed their rules to allow these companies specifically

One of which is the NASDAQ 100, marketed for decades as a tech-focused index.

> Pensions and retirement funds rely on these indices to have continual, stable growth

Pensions build their own benchmarks. About 10 to 20% of retirement assets follow these indices directly for a variety of purposes. The S&P 500 aims for continuous large-cap growth, but that isn’t true for most indices, which seek to replicate something random.

> changing the rules to throw retirement fund money into brand new extremely highly valued stocks with P/E ratios in the hundreds seems like a recipe for disaster

The NASDAQ 100 has seen practically no net outflows due to this decision. And most retirement assets don’t blindly follow any index, let alone any single one. I opposed the rule changes at S&P. But the catastrophising was made for clicks and views. Not to inform anyone.

Like, anyone who actually acted on that brouhaha changed out of an index that isn’t going include SpaceX, incurring transaction fees and potentially tax hits (for non-retirement accounts) in the process, and probably cycling into a higher-fee fund.

Re: SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P

#19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> What was the common misconception? That the rule change was a done deal. The pitch was some shadowy financial cabal forcing everyone’s retirement savings into SpaceX (which would not have been true even if S&P voted to include, but that’s a separate topic). The top comment and most of its subthreads are run-of-the-mill alarmism.

> The top comment and most of its subthreads are run-of-the-mill alarmism. Worth considering: * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prevention_paradox And the rules for the NASDAQ 100 were changed, as were MSCI and CRSP: * https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/some-indexes-accelerate-e...

Most assets don’t follow those funds. And NASDAQ 100 is explicitly tech focused, I support them making the change.

The doomsaying was around most retirement assets. Which don’t follow any single index. But to the extent they do, follow the S&P 500.

The market wasn’t pricing in any rebalancing. Commenters were screaming bloody murder about it. In the middle, I’m sure some numpties generated trading and management fees by switching target funds.

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