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Is this sustainable?

jamiehurst.co.uk

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Re: Is this sustainable?

#11

Post by dijksterhuis »

steveBK123 wrote: post #6

> The result, in my case, is that I code more than I have in years. Three years ago I coded maybe once a fortnight, mostly throwaway PoCs to demonstrate concepts. Now I code most days of the week, in between other work. This kind of senior engineering role really depends on the type/size of an org. I've had jobs like this on & off and generally don't stick around for long. There have always been high-impact hands-on-…

> The quantity over quality market is going to produce new opportunities for others

once the linkedin anti-ai hype train starts in earnest that’ll be when there’ll be money to be made.

monkey see, monkey do.

Re: Is this sustainable?

#13

Post by nathanielks »

jon-wood wrote: post #8
kixxauth wrote: post #3

It makes me wonder if large engineering organizations are going to splinter. The coordination costs are getting, proportionally, much larger than they used to. When I left my corporate engineering job wayyyyy back in March, there were engineers and engineering leaders going off and getting a lot done, individually or in small teams. But project management and QA couldn't keep up with it. Managers resorted to turning…

My take on this, which is almost entirely pulled out of my rear end because I last worked in a large company before the rise of agents, is that we’ll see a move from vertical teams of specialists who get pulled into projects to build a mobile app or handle infrastructure. Instead there’ll be a much stronger focus on teams of generalists, or combined teams of specialists from different fields, working on a feature or…

> Instead there’ll be a much stronger focus on teams of generalists, or combined teams of specialists from different fields, working on a feature or product end to end.

> Coordination has in my experience always been the big bottleneck in getting anything done

I work at a large enterprise you've heard of. They're currently re-organizing the product area to remove currently-static two pizza teams into an amorphous blob of feature-oriented teams. Once the feature is complete, the team is dissolved and the engineers re-enter the pool, tasked with new features.

All that to say, I think you're right on the money with your assessment.

Re: Is this sustainable?

#15

Post by nathanielks »

> The engineers who've adopted these tools effectively get heard more often, get their proposals taken seriously more often, and shape direction more than those who haven't.

I want to point out if the organizational model or your team's engineers are resistant to change, it doesn't matter how good of an engineer you are, or how good at proposal writing you are. With or without AI.

Re: Is this sustainable?

#18

Post by andyferris »

nicbou wrote: post #12

When a long article is topped by an AI-generated image, it makes me wonder if I should bother reading. Did a human write this?

Just a funny observation, apologies in advance:

I am rewatching Stargate SG-1 with my children right now and cannot read this comment except in the voice of Teal’c.

In the previous episode the team was in 1969 on a hippy bus.

My advice is to chill out a little…

Re: Is this sustainable?

#19

Post by neuroblaster »

bryanrasmussen wrote: post #7
neuroblaster wrote: post #5

No, it isn't sustainable. There is a paper called "The AI Layoff Trap"[1], it says that it is a prisoner's dilemma and this is why this dude feels like he's in an arms race. On the other front, people are saying that NVidia can't deliver stable drivers for like 15 months and they don't want to take software updates at all, they are more happy with last year's drivers. I think this is a black swan event in the industr…

black swan is not a reference to the badness of blackness but the unlikelihood of something contradicting volumes of previous data. Thus it can change industry in a good way or a bad way, because the black swan is unprecedented and unpredicted, its consequences and their nature is unsettled.

Traditionally in economics black swan is an unpredictable negative event.

The only thing that is unsettled here still is how many more people will lose their jobs and how much cumulative loss prisoner's dilemma will generate.

I saw random people on Internet suggesting to piggyback this disaster and dip into the crazy money that it is "generating", but in a zero-sum game somebody has to lose.

Re: Is this sustainable?

#20

Post by andyferris »

bryanrasmussen wrote: post #7
neuroblaster wrote: post #5

No, it isn't sustainable. There is a paper called "The AI Layoff Trap"[1], it says that it is a prisoner's dilemma and this is why this dude feels like he's in an arms race. On the other front, people are saying that NVidia can't deliver stable drivers for like 15 months and they don't want to take software updates at all, they are more happy with last year's drivers. I think this is a black swan event in the industr…

black swan is not a reference to the badness of blackness but the unlikelihood of something contradicting volumes of previous data. Thus it can change industry in a good way or a bad way, because the black swan is unprecedented and unpredicted, its consequences and their nature is unsettled.

Yes. And ultimately the colour of swans in Western Australia impacts… almost nothing at all.
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