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Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation

anthropic.com

361–370 of 458 posts

Re: Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation

#361

Earlier quoted context omitted.

elaborate please

easy: 1. Shit goes into S&P 500 (pump phase) 2. Shit goes to 0. Your 401(k) invested into S&P 500 takes a dive (dump phase) 3. Retail holding bags (full of shit) phase. Case study: Tesla, with a P/E ratio in the hundreds along with declining sales and TAM, is a part of the S&P 500 and, consequently, of many people's 401(k)s.

Index funds are market cap weighted. As companies fail, as they always do (median lifespan of S&P companies is about 15 years), you have less of it.

Re: Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation

#362

Earlier quoted context omitted.

so how do stripe employees get liquidity? can anyone sell their secondary shares?

I can't speak for the specific case of Stripe, but it's fairly common for private companies to have a "tender offer" in which employees have the opportunity to sell some portion of their equity. This is often done in conjunction with a new investment round.

Outside of big tech, it's also fairly common for private companies to simply not offer equity to employees.

Re: Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation

#363

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You’d be surprised how much vibe is there in VC investing. When one is under the grip of irrational exuberance and FOMO due diligence goes out the window. For example look at Sequoia’s investment into FTX and article about Sam that accompanied.

True, but this is not what might be considered an unexamined company. You can be sure it's under all its investors' microscopes. If for no other reason than they would rather spend their days procrastinating on everything else, so they can obsess over some of the most interesting numbers they will ever see.

FTX was examined, investors thought it was impressive that Sam was playing Bronze ELO LOL while in meetings.

Re: Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation

#364
post #238

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Personally, I’m just exhausted. They are not obligated to be truthful here, so the entire thing is interpreted based on vibes. If you are an AI booster, this is proof that the demand is there; if you aren’t, you’re baffled at where these numbers are coming from.

I think the level of panic in CFO offices every where about AI cost explosion directionally validates that the spending is real.

As that sort of person myself, albeit not in a software company right now, my thought process would be this.

1) I have a new extra cost 2) How does that make me more profit, and improved cashflow

I know I'll be bombarded with metrics about productivity, feature completion, bug fixes etc. But someone is going to have to tell me how that equates to more sales. And who is going to do that? I'll be worried that the feature wishlist will just creep up now we can handle more throughput, and yet everyone will be telling me that I don't need to worry about the lack of new customers this quarter, one more new feature and we will catch up in Q4. You can see how that could make one grumpy. Then when the sales don't come, I'll tell the CTO that they need to balance the books, if they want to use expensive tools to make each developer more productive then they will need fewer developers...

...but I don't want that, I want more great features that people will pay for, and faster. But they have to pay for themselves.

Re: Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation

#365
post #227

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The wild thing to me, is that they're serving $47B run rate worth of requests on maybe 2-3 GW of compute currently [1], of which only a fraction goes to inference, vs R&D and training. Obviously there have been complaints on token limits and such so they're stretched a bit thin, but nonetheless. Hard to imagine what a world with 100GW of compute looks like. [1] https://epochai.substack.com/p/frontier-labs-dont-use-mo…

It gets better; most of their incoming requests don't actually require a frontier model to handle. There's a huge potential for future optimization in this space. Anthropic, OpenAI, Google and a few other companies are going to be well positioned to scale in the few years. A 65$ billion round to finance operations over the next few years isn't that controversial if you look at the growth and profit potential. I think…

Where's the moat though? What prevents a race to the bottom with competing AI providers, everyone trying to undercut one another?

Re: Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation

#366

Earlier quoted context omitted.

easy: 1. Shit goes into S&P 500 (pump phase) 2. Shit goes to 0. Your 401(k) invested into S&P 500 takes a dive (dump phase) 3. Retail holding bags (full of shit) phase. Case study: Tesla, with a P/E ratio in the hundreds along with declining sales and TAM, is a part of the S&P 500 and, consequently, of many people's 401(k)s.

Index funds are market cap weighted. As companies fail, as they always do (median lifespan of S&P companies is about 15 years), you have less of it.

Buy high, sell low in other words?

Re: Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation

#367

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You’d be surprised how much vibe is there in VC investing. When one is under the grip of irrational exuberance and FOMO due diligence goes out the window. For example look at Sequoia’s investment into FTX and article about Sam that accompanied.

True, but this is not what might be considered an unexamined company. You can be sure it's under all its investors' microscopes. If for no other reason than they would rather spend their days procrastinating on everything else, so they can obsess over some of the most interesting numbers they will ever see.

Soros too believes that traders are retarded.

Re: Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation

#368
post #15

Boys we got more subsidy for Claude Code Plans! Let the VC financed spending of 1000$ of datacenter cost for 200$ sales price continue!

$1,000? According to ccusage, I used around 3,200 USD worth of API credits last month, but I'm on a plan that only costs around 100 USD per month, and I'm not even a heavy user. At the end of each week, I have typically used about a third of my weekly Claude limit. So either their APIs are heavily overpriced, which seems rather unlikely, or they subsidise subscriptions to the tune of 100x or even more.

Well, I will enjoy it while it lasts.

Re: Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation

#369
post #67

Anthropic has a great product, but what's going on in the stock market is astonishing. Companies waiting to be valued at a trillion dollars before going public? (I'm writing this comment with the assumption that they will go public soon and the valuation will be higher than this $965 billion dollar private valuation) The stock market used to be a place for companies to raise money from investors. But that isn't what…

Yeup, no shortage of tech IPOs over the past five years that are now valued at like 5% of what they were after being dumped onto the market: ZoomInfo, Bumble, Gemini And many more that are 50% of what they were: Snowflake, Coinbase And many more that went back to private companies and then were sold off: Carbon Black, etc... I'm actually too lazy to go list out all of them. But employees, beware, of those gnarly lock…

Hashicorp comes to mind. From ~$90 at IPO, cratered to $25 and then taken private again by IBM

Re: Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation

#370
post #238

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Personally, I’m just exhausted. They are not obligated to be truthful here, so the entire thing is interpreted based on vibes. If you are an AI booster, this is proof that the demand is there; if you aren’t, you’re baffled at where these numbers are coming from.

I think the level of panic in CFO offices every where about AI cost explosion directionally validates that the spending is real.

There is no panic, it's misreporting and bad journalism. 2025 AI budgets were based on 2025 AI capabilities, and let's face it, LLMs only got acceptable in around November 2025. So it's natural usage went up and budgets didn't account for that.
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