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Dropbox CEO Drew Houston to step down

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Re: Dropbox CEO Drew Houston to step down

#251

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's done to increase EPS per share and return cash to ongoing shareholders in a more tax friendly way, yes.

People say this, but the cash is returned only if you sell. A dividend is cash in pocket plus the stock.

The dividend is taxable ordinary income. The increased share value is not taxable until sold, and then it’s capital gains; usually a much lower rate.

Re: Dropbox CEO Drew Houston to step down

#252

Dropbox's stock has been stuck at around $6B valuation for years with flat growth and income around $2.5B per year. It is just stuck. Box.com, which is quite similar, is not that different. Around $3B and $1.2B in income. Similar valuation. I think it is the market, not the leadership. It is a tough market that has cut off the consumer end because all the big players have their own deeply integrated solutions: Apple…

> It is a tough market that has cut off the consumer end because all the big players have their own deeply integrated solutions: Apple (iCloud), Google (Drive), Microsoft (OneDrive). A huge unforced error though is that the starting price for individual plans is $20/year versus $10/month for Dropbox and Box. At a certain point you have to recognize that the rules of the game have changed. Once a customer has their fo…

They probably have to prove to me nobody can read my files besides me & the NSA (no “our 134 advertising partners …”)

unless they really want to wait for iOneGDrive to enshittify

Edit: as it stands, sounds like uploading already encrypted files to AWS is the option for privacy hawks who still want cloud - such a small market but think it should grow

Re: Dropbox CEO Drew Houston to step down

#253
post #238
post #229

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

Previous discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45844197

Appreciate the context, however if I was to follow up on my own comment. You were sentenced to prison, I went to the grocery store yesterday. It's the casualness of the phrasing that is jarring.

Re: Dropbox CEO Drew Houston to step down

#254

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is that bad though? Think about it. If you're paying all your bills, all your wages, and you have a strong product that people enjoy, and you're able to compete in the market - maybe not gaining any ground, but at least not losing any either - why change? Of course I moderately understand the market pressures at work, but at some point in the human civilization journey we'll have to be content with something instead…

Exponential growth can’t last forever, and I do worry about what will happen when the gravy train stops. Maybe we can figure out interstellar travel before it does so the limiting factor becomes “the galaxy” rather than “our planet”.

Not everything is in the exponential growth model. Most small businesses in your town for example. Margins might afford an upper middle class lifestyle for the owner and that is a good enough business model for this company to last decades, even pass down through the family.

Re: Dropbox CEO Drew Houston to step down

#255

A few years ago Dropbox just stopped working for the basic thing it is supposed to do -- let me access lots of files without taking up tons of local drive space. Since then I have not stopped using/paying, but i have stopped counting on it and I have stopped adding new files to it, sharing files with it, etc. The constant marketing for "dropbox for business" (which is priced badly and is not something I've ever felt…

It’s funny that you think Dropbox is supposed to let you access lots of files without taking up tons of local drive space. I still think of Dropbox as a file synchronization tool, so taking up tons of local drive space is an expected behavior. It goes to show that people think of Dropbox in different ways.

Re: Dropbox CEO Drew Houston to step down

#256

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is that bad though? Think about it. If you're paying all your bills, all your wages, and you have a strong product that people enjoy, and you're able to compete in the market - maybe not gaining any ground, but at least not losing any either - why change? Of course I moderately understand the market pressures at work, but at some point in the human civilization journey we'll have to be content with something instead…

> at some point in the human civilization journey we'll have to be content with something instead of chasing clouds all the time. Surely we're not even close to this point though? I can think of a lot of things that would be incredibly good for humanity to have, and which are achievable with enough economic growth, but which we are currently very far from because our economy does not have the necessary productive cap…

I mean sure, but marginally better/more profitable file storage isn’t any of that, and artificially juicing the share value doesn’t actually make any difference to the real economy it just makes some people who like gambling on made up numbers happier for a bit.

Re: Dropbox CEO Drew Houston to step down

#257

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Dropbox is a $6B product, just no second act

It's a great product. They had the brand, the capital, and the user base to become what Slack, Zoom, or Notion became. Instead, they spent a decade fighting a losing battle over storage pricing with Google and Microsoft. Their lack of a second act is due to a failure of product vision and enterprise execution.

And they had Paper, which was an excellent product (I was at Dropbox a decade ago; we all used Paper constantly and it was great) very close to what Notion later became. They never got it over the hump to wider PMF — like you say, a failure of product and of enterprise execution.

(Given that it was so close to Notion, I think Paper is one area where the product vision was on to something good; but they didn't succeed at product execution, connecting customer feedback to iterating correctly on product improvements.)

Re: Dropbox CEO Drew Houston to step down

#258

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is that bad though? Think about it. If you're paying all your bills, all your wages, and you have a strong product that people enjoy, and you're able to compete in the market - maybe not gaining any ground, but at least not losing any either - why change? Of course I moderately understand the market pressures at work, but at some point in the human civilization journey we'll have to be content with something instead…

> at some point in the human civilization journey we'll have to be content with something instead of chasing clouds all the time. Surely we're not even close to this point though? I can think of a lot of things that would be incredibly good for humanity to have, and which are achievable with enough economic growth, but which we are currently very far from because our economy does not have the necessary productive cap…

What does any of that have to do with Dropbox?

Re: Dropbox CEO Drew Houston to step down

#259

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Exponential growth can’t last forever, and I do worry about what will happen when the gravy train stops. Maybe we can figure out interstellar travel before it does so the limiting factor becomes “the galaxy” rather than “our planet”.

I think impending demographic collapse might give us a peek at that sooner than you'd think

Clarify exactly what you mean by "demographic collapse."

Re: Dropbox CEO Drew Houston to step down

#260

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How is a local copy not the best way to store data?

A local copy is inherently fragile. It's easily destroyed by accident, flood, fire etc. This is especially true when using a single storage device like an SD Card, vs the way that these storage services operate, leveraging things like erasure encoding. Local backups are important, they're cheap, and often fast. They just shouldn't be the only kind of backup you do for data that is important to you.

Make two local backups and store the other one at work or a friends house.
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