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The Eternal Sloptember

geohot.github.io

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Re: The Eternal Sloptember

#3
AFL didn't find more vulnerabilities than LLMs. AFL and skilled practitioners found vulnerabilities. AFL triggers faults, many (most?) of which aren't exploitable, and humans (or, now, agents) have to triage and evaluate them. And they did so in a pre-AFL corpus of memory-unsafe software. The heyday of AFL was a decade ago. Every target is harder now.

Re: The Eternal Sloptember

#4
My guess is the models just continue to get better and better

When I got into agentic coding a year or two ago I was sure it was only good at autocomplete. Something happened earlier this year where the models hit a new level of capability.

Everyone I know now just does agentic coding, and it’s really amazing. I think we should just try pushing this as far as we can possibly go, it really feels like the acceleration of the human race is upon us.

Re: The Eternal Sloptember

#6
We all remember cryptocurrency. Everyone in tech proclaimed fiat was dead, every office buzzed with talk of every possible way that cryptocurrency could be used, billions of dollars flooded in to projects losing money hand over fist. The cynics reacted to the froth with outright rejection of the idea. And today… cryptocurrency exists, it has some use, but it didn’t take over the world, it didn’t kill fiat, it was useful in some areas and worthless in others. AI will be the same. The noisiest proponents will be over exaggerating. The most cynical cynics will be underestimating. The result will be somewhere in the middle. Success will not be predicated on adoption of the technology. We, nerds, are bad at predicting the impact of technology.

Re: The Eternal Sloptember

#10
post #6

We all remember cryptocurrency. Everyone in tech proclaimed fiat was dead, every office buzzed with talk of every possible way that cryptocurrency could be used, billions of dollars flooded in to projects losing money hand over fist. The cynics reacted to the froth with outright rejection of the idea. And today… cryptocurrency exists, it has some use, but it didn’t take over the world, it didn’t kill fiat, it was use…

You are predicting the weather by saying tomorrow will be just like today.

Which has a good track record of being right, most of the time.

I agree!

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