311–320 of 524 posts
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It's gone up like 300% in cost in the last year.
There was only a very brief time it was selling for MSRP (last fall for $2000). Even if you use that as the previous data point, it's only 200% increased.
If it's 4k instead of 2k msrp, that's a 100% increase.
Awful time for gamers and PC hobbyists not fully into AI.
This is 100% going to kill the home built pc market. When I started building gaming pcs, the top top card was 750$ (NZD). Now they’re 10,000 just for the gpu and another 1-2000 for ram. People used to get into gaming pcs as an affordable hobby, now it’s making general aviation look like plan B.
The only hope left is really Apple, but even apple has conspicuously delayed the launch of M5-gen mac minis and mac studio. Mostly because even Apple can't source enough DRAM to fully supply all their product lines.
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The memory makers will not expand demand drastically. It is in the nature of their business to keep the market under-supplied, otherwise the following oversupply will kill them. Instead, supply is just rerouted from less profitable segments such as mobile and personal computing.
China is about to flood the market and prove this notion wrong. If there is demand they want to meet it with supply. But to your point, that is exactly how American companies like to play now. No one is stopping them from screwing over the consumer. I have a Micron near me and they are building another chip facility but we are years away still so I suspect China will beat them to the punch.
China is very far away from flooding the DRAM market.
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That’s not the Apple way, but they might fund a supplier to build out capacity in return for priority access. The thing is they tend to only do that when they can get a technological competitive advantage. The priority access gives them a locked in competitive edge, for a while. It’s not clear there is an opportunity like that in memory.
It wasn't their way to design CPUs until it was their way.
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I think there is a reasonable basis for taking a gamble that small models capable of fitting on a 32GB card will continue to advance over the next 5 years and eventually approach Gemini Flash 3.5 / Sonnet 4.6 levels of capabilities, which I would consider to be past the threshold of “probably worth the cost and hassle of running 24/7” if the upfront cost of the hardware was palatable. My use case would primarily be i…
>My use case would primarily be in search, integration, and indexing other software projects with my own, as well as transcription/indexing of interesting video and audio content (eg Dwarkesh interviews) that I don’t have time to watch but want to easily search and apply to my projects, and search/indexing for useful information from things like Linux kernel and security mailing lists. Basically there is a lot of stu…
It’s ok if you don’t want to do the same kind of thing but I find it weird how dismissive so many people get about wanting to use LLMs for large projects, or how anybody who says they’re using them for these kinds of things (I’m doing similar for other stuff) gets challenged on what they’re doing it for.
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Possibly the best deal there is I really need to shut up, or bite the bullet and by one. If you graph the tokens per second on the 5090, your jaw will hit the floor at how cheap it is
With only 32gb of vram, you can only run small/quantized models, in which case what's the point? At $4000, that gets you 20 months of 10x claude or chagpt subscriptions, which provide far better models. You'd need some use case where you can tolerate worse models, and use a steady supply of them. That doesn't match most people's usage patterns.
I don't use it for coding, I have $20 Gemini, $20 codex, etc.
But then I got the framework board for $1700, now it's $2700
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This is 100% going to kill the home built pc market. When I started building gaming pcs, the top top card was 750$ (NZD). Now they’re 10,000 just for the gpu and another 1-2000 for ram. People used to get into gaming pcs as an affordable hobby, now it’s making general aviation look like plan B.
there's much more than triple A video-games running at 240 Hz on Ultra settings... a 200 USD laptop/computer has enough power to run hundreds of interesting indie games and AAA from the past
You don't even have to drop down to old indie games. You just have to turn off the FPS counter and stop pixel peeping screenshots.
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This is 100% going to kill the home built pc market. When I started building gaming pcs, the top top card was 750$ (NZD). Now they’re 10,000 just for the gpu and another 1-2000 for ram. People used to get into gaming pcs as an affordable hobby, now it’s making general aviation look like plan B.
Yes, this will definitely renew interest in Stadia type products.
I just don't see the cost savings of sharing a GPU overcoming the extra expense + profit such a service would need.
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This has nothing to do about nationality, it has everything to do with building and running a brand new, highly technical, mass production facility.
And historical record of the lack of QA coming from Chinese manufacturing
The US did it when it was a bigger steel supplier, good steel was sold domestically, crappy steel was sold elsewhere. If you got crappy steel in Africa at the time you might have thought US steel was garbage with poor QA, but in reality US steel was great and they just shipped the crappy stuff because people still kept buying it.
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I think it's the opposite. Sure in short term hobbyists are getting squeezed, but the amount of capital that they can put into pushing the edge is small compared to Fortune 500. Sooner or later hobbyists will benefit, especially if the market crashes.
If it crashes after it kills the PC we’ll be left with… nothing? Path matters as much as destination