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The current AI pricing was always going to go away

arnon.dk

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Re: The current AI pricing was always going to go away

#3
Some of these coming price increases will move dev work back to dedicated shops and teams when individuals and non-devs won't want to pay the AI bill to finish and ship their projects.

An outside small dev shop or internal dev team can pay these prices and spread the cost over several customers or departments, but the era of giving everyone AI and telling them to dev stuff is about to be over.

Re: The current AI pricing was always going to go away

#6
I wonder how much of Uber blowing their AI budget and MSFT pulling their claude code licenses can be attributed to "tokenmaxxing".

When Meta announced token leaderboards and other followed, I could see this being the logical conclusion. That whole trend is so dumb because it leads to this.

Company announces they will measure developer performance by how many tokens they burn and constantly talks about how the best developers burn the most tokens. Developers see the message and start burning tokens. And then the company acts surprised when their bills go through the roof.

I personally use my OpenAI subscription pretty heavily, 2-3 agents running practically all day on various tasks but I never even get close to running into limits while I hear about others blowing through limits on multiple accounts in the same time period. I'm convinced that most of those folks and their elaborate workflows aren't really for productivity but for bragging rights about how much they use AI.

Re: The current AI pricing was always going to go away

#8
This is where open source models are important.

The latest deepseek v4 pro model is 2-5x cheaper than Claude Sonnet 4.6. Cursor's Compose 2.5 that was just recently released is 6x cheaper than Sonnet.

The state of the art models are going to get better and more expensive and smaller models are going to get cheaper.

There will be a point where the intelligence of both the cheap and state of the art models are indistinguishable by humans like it is indistinguishable for me to understand the difference the difference between Terrance Tao and my university math professor.

I don't always need the smartest and most expensive models. I will need it every once in awhile and will gladly pay that price if I had to. What I do need is the model that will solve the current problem I have in a reasonable amount of time.

Re: The current AI pricing was always going to go away

#10
post #5

This is slightly more tasteful slop than average (I'm thinking probably Claude rather than ChatGPT?), but it's still 100% AI written: https://www.pangram.com/history/c55ab69b-e0a9-49a0-8056-2fcd...

This... is not a reliable AI detection method at all.
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