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OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon

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191–200 of 426 posts

Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon

#191

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I would retire. If you have two million euros lying around, that would be life-changing money for me. I'd put everything into VWCE and then live off interest. I think I'd spend a year in Japan just to see what it's like, then travel around a few other countries, and finally settle somewhere back in Europe - buy a small house in the middle of nowhere, renovate it, and then smoke weed and play video games until the end…

That's such a cynical take. If everyone does what you're describing, we will never make progress as a society.

I can think of lots of people that would make society better if they would do that instead of what they are doing now.

Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon

#193
post #109

I was wrong - not investing in FB and Amazon many years ago - thought those businesses will shrivel and die. I believe OpenAI is a bit of a coin flip as the AI space evolves. In fact I feel all AI will be marginal return generators at best. There are a lot of incumbents and a lot more coming as barriers to entry get increasingly lower. Unless a company can build a near monopoly it'll be hard to justify a 100X revenue…

All that is a side show. What would you have done with the cash if you were right? Thats always the real story. My Aunt runs an accounting firm and is constantly moaning about the number of people who have over accumulated cash from IPOs and have no clue what to do with it all.

We love in a kind of bizarro world where the “capitalists” have printed so much money that they’re wildly inefficient in allocation of resources, as evident by all the excess cash sloshing around; while the “communists” of China and to some degree Russia and the BRICS in general are widely efficient in allocation of resources, as evident by the creativity and innovation and advancements they’ve made in very short order.

That’s at least my generalized perspective.

Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon

#194
post #109

Earlier quoted context omitted.

All that is a side show. What would you have done with the cash if you were right? Thats always the real story. My Aunt runs an accounting firm and is constantly moaning about the number of people who have over accumulated cash from IPOs and have no clue what to do with it all.

I would retire. If you have two million euros lying around, that would be life-changing money for me. I'd put everything into VWCE and then live off interest. I think I'd spend a year in Japan just to see what it's like, then travel around a few other countries, and finally settle somewhere back in Europe - buy a small house in the middle of nowhere, renovate it, and then smoke weed and play video games until the end…

> and then smoke weed and play video games until the end of my days.

This might be less fun than you imagine.

Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon

#195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My returns are around 20 percent per year for years. I lack will and energy to list everything I owned but it’s basically a method of value investing + momentum trading so two opposites. You could say it’s a diversification of investing philosophies. Honestly it’s a free for all game so no one has any interest to share their secrets and methods. When you lose money I make money. Better player wins.

> My returns are around 20 percent per year for years. That's unbelievable! Even Warren Buffet only makes 19% - 20% compounded every year. That would make you one of the top investors ever.

Lots of people think they can do better than the index funds. Some do, for a while.

Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon

#197

I was wrong - not investing in FB and Amazon many years ago - thought those businesses will shrivel and die. I believe OpenAI is a bit of a coin flip as the AI space evolves. In fact I feel all AI will be marginal return generators at best. There are a lot of incumbents and a lot more coming as barriers to entry get increasingly lower. Unless a company can build a near monopoly it'll be hard to justify a 100X revenue…

WCGW… Companies with $500B+ valuation don’t bancrupt…

Enron entered the chat.

Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon

#198

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Direct indexing is a thing.

It’s a thing but your order execution won’t be as efficient as an ETF, so you will be losing a non-negligible amount each year in slippage from the large number of small transactions

You don't have to do the large number of small transactions, you know? Just diverge from the index, it's fine!

Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon

#199
post #160

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Developing nations" if you will. Like these days banks are referring to labour class as "low quality human capital". Whatever terms fancy you, the underlying reality remains the same.

> "Developing nations" if you will I wouldn't, I'm not sure which nations are developing or that they're developing into. Aren't we all developing all the time? > Whatever terms fancy you, the underlying reality remains the same. That's great, could you just explain the underlying reality without the loaded terms then?

People usually use the term for poorer countries, as opposed to the rich ones. Originally third world meant those not aligned with the USSR or NATO, I believe.

Re: OpenAI Is Preparing to File for an IPO Soon

#200
post #190
post #183

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you were going to invest in any AI company literally the only one I would trust to still exist in 10 years would be Google

Yep. Two simple boring bets on AI: NVIDIA and Google.

They will exist, but at what valuation? Can NVIDIA really continue to raise?
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