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Starship's Twelfth Flight Test

spacex.com

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Re: Starship's Twelfth Flight Test

#41

Post by Recurecur »

everyone wrote: post #34
GMoromisato wrote: post #32

There is a lot riding on V3. SpaceX cannot afford to take too many launches to get V3 solid. If 2026 is another 2025 (3 V2 failures in a row followed by 2 V3 successes), then they can forget about landing on the moon before 2030. My hope is that Flight 12 goes nearly flawlessly (at least gets to soft splashdown) and they can start testing in-space refueling in July/August. If they can demonstrate in-space refueling b…

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Re: Starship's Twelfth Flight Test

#42

Post by everyone »

rpmisms wrote: post #37
everyone wrote: post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

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Have you met hardware guys? This is not how they operate, in my experience.

I mean I might be a hardware guy myself depending on your definition. I've never dealt with rocket engineers.. Are they "hardware guys" according to you? If so it seems you are using that term incredibly broadly.

Re: Starship's Twelfth Flight Test

#44

Post by lysace »

They have really invested focus in creating mass market content lately - like, actually having someone spend some time creating the text on this page. Didn't really see that earlier.

And a number of long form videos (like "Test Like You Fly").

IPO time: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cg4pe2953q1o and https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48213933 (in the last few hours)

Re: Starship's Twelfth Flight Test

#45

Post by wonderwonder »

everyone wrote: post #34
GMoromisato wrote: post #32

There is a lot riding on V3. SpaceX cannot afford to take too many launches to get V3 solid. If 2026 is another 2025 (3 V2 failures in a row followed by 2 V3 successes), then they can forget about landing on the moon before 2030. My hope is that Flight 12 goes nearly flawlessly (at least gets to soft splashdown) and they can start testing in-space refueling in July/August. If they can demonstrate in-space refueling b…

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That's makes a lot of sense becuase the Nazi's were notorius for not having good rocket engineers

Re: Starship's Twelfth Flight Test

#48

Post by pixl97 »

jjk166 wrote: post #33
robocat wrote: post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah. Rocket first stage Approx. unfueled mass: Super Heavy: 200000 to 280000 kg Falcon 9 first stage (without Falcon Heavy side boosters): 25600 kg

So 200-280 tons. A standard barge can support 1500-3000 tons of cargo. Even with the added weight of a catch tower and a healthy factor of safety thrust isn't gonna sink the barge. Far more likely the major hurdle would be stability issues with how tall it is.

It's not 280 tons... it's a falling object with kinetic energy so that rocket thrust is going to be very problematic for that boat especially if it' hitting unevenly.

That and there's no way for it to stand without a catch tower.

Re: Starship's Twelfth Flight Test

#49

Post by NitpickLawyer »

GMoromisato wrote: post #32

There is a lot riding on V3. SpaceX cannot afford to take too many launches to get V3 solid. If 2026 is another 2025 (3 V2 failures in a row followed by 2 V3 successes), then they can forget about landing on the moon before 2030. My hope is that Flight 12 goes nearly flawlessly (at least gets to soft splashdown) and they can start testing in-space refueling in July/August. If they can demonstrate in-space refueling b…

> then they can forget about landing on the moon before 2030.

A crewed Moon landing before 30 is really implausible. Everyone is late, but the latest NASA OIG report put the Axiom suits very late (somewhere ~2031 if everything holds, but it notes it might not hold).

Re: Starship's Twelfth Flight Test

#50

Post by Recurecur »

pixl97 wrote: post #4

There is a 70% chance for storms in the area tomorrow so it's very likely going to be a scrub tomorrow.

AccuWeather has it at the infamous 51% probability level for thunderstorms at 5 CST, so there’s still a decent chance for success tomorrow.

Time will tell!

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