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I’ve joined Anthropic

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Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#621

Post by [deleted] »

vilius wrote: post #607
gsleblanc wrote: post #546

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes. I think Anthropic's success with claude code + cowork and the way it's shredding through white-collar work is basically cementing the thesis of Geoffrey Hinton's latest paper ( https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12559-026-105... ). I highly recommend reading it in full, but briefly: 1. Copernican Revolution -> We aren't the center of the universe 2. The Darwinian Revolution -> We aren't the pinnacle…

> "I was born into a poor family but am relatively intelligent and good at learning things, therefore I can find success" Nicely put, unconsciously this was my mindset in my 20s. In my 30s, I started questioning myself how come so many stupid people achieve great success. There must be more to success than just being relatively intelligent (just look into politicians - forgive generalization). Once a nagging thought,…

[deleted]

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#623

Post by OkWing99 »

skystarmen wrote: post #604
OkWing99 wrote: post #480

Earlier quoted context omitted.

1. Figma (in progress) 2. Most entry level jobs for current graduates in white collar fields. (See hiring rates for these positions) 3. Thousands of layoffs (mostly attributed to AI use, while not 100%, the Anthropic's specific marketing push has a huge influence on this - unlike OAI and other labs) 4. All low-code products/startups 5. Web agencies who did small websites for local businesses While AI industry push is…

Figma just reported 45% revenue growth last quarter and is up ~20%...

Revenue growth from an existing customer base doesn't necessarily mean the company is healthy for the long term. Look at Salesforce and Figma revenue reporting vs their stock futures.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#624

Post by burnerRhodov3 »

mjg2 wrote: post #386
davidatbu wrote: post #202

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I can spare a minute :). This isn't exhaustive because this is just stuff I know of, obviously. - At Stanford, Led research on the first (to my knowledge) crop of joint image/text models. Super widely cited work. - At Tesla, led their whole self driving effort for a while, came up with critical techniques that allowed them to make progress (e.g., the concept of "auto labelling": using a much larger NN to generate tra…

Tesla still hasn't achieved their 2016 self-drive goal by their self imposed deadline of 2017, even now a decade later. So, politely, is that accolade merited?

A Tesla drove coast to coast on full autopilot.

My Tesla drives to walmart, finds a parking spot, comes to me outside walmart and drives me home. I've been driving my model 3 for years, and honestly, i've never had to "Take over" due to a saftey issue.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#625

Post by OkWing99 »

0xpgm wrote: post #599
OkWing99 wrote: post #480

Earlier quoted context omitted.

1. Figma (in progress) 2. Most entry level jobs for current graduates in white collar fields. (See hiring rates for these positions) 3. Thousands of layoffs (mostly attributed to AI use, while not 100%, the Anthropic's specific marketing push has a huge influence on this - unlike OAI and other labs) 4. All low-code products/startups 5. Web agencies who did small websites for local businesses While AI industry push is…

There's a lot of deception going on with job numbers. Everyone knows there was a hiring spree during the pandemic and companies have been gradually shedding off excess weight since then. AI of course is just another excuse to shed more numbers. I'd prefer it if people looking at hiring numbers would compare it with the pre-pandemic levels.

I think it's about time we need to move past this 'pandemic overhiring' story. Pandemic ended years ago.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#627

Post by ElProlactin »

utopiah wrote: post #605
ElProlactin wrote: post #596

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not trying to get into a semantic argument. By one definition, almost any web application can be considered a CMS. I'll reiterate my point: tech-savvy non-engineers are using AI to build the kind of dynamic web applications that many engineers don't want to believe can be built by non-engineers using AI. One marketer I know built a sales-related application for a niche industry with Claude Code and and has been a…

I'll reiterate my point too then: yes, and that's not new. There are always engineers selling to tech-savvy non-engineers tools transforming a service based on expertise to a product.

If you think what AI is enabling, and how it's actually being used by tech-savvy non-engineers, is "not new", carry on.

The AI "hype" is the perfect example of how people see what they want to see, on both sides.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#628

Post by zulban »

loxodrome wrote: post #376

I can't help but feel like someone with Karpathy's experience and financial resources would start their own company if they had real creativity and vision.

Not everyone wants to manage a large company. Sounds like a nightmare to me.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#629

Post by OkWing99 »

csa wrote: post #514
OkWing99 wrote: post #480

Earlier quoted context omitted.

1. Figma (in progress) 2. Most entry level jobs for current graduates in white collar fields. (See hiring rates for these positions) 3. Thousands of layoffs (mostly attributed to AI use, while not 100%, the Anthropic's specific marketing push has a huge influence on this - unlike OAI and other labs) 4. All low-code products/startups 5. Web agencies who did small websites for local businesses While AI industry push is…

> 1. Figma (in progress) Hmmm… maybe. I think not. It really depends on your other claims below, with which I mostly disagree. 2. Most entry level jobs for current graduates in white collar fields. (See hiring rates for these positions) Maybe a small amount. Entry level white collar jobs have a low hiring rate for other reasons, imho. 3. Thousands of layoffs (mostly attributed to AI use, while not 100%, the Anthropic…

The question wasn't about the quality of the work done or a criticism of AI in general. But those were areas where people were employed and got paid to do a job. The output may not have been acceptable from Silicon Valley standards - but they were still employed and paid taxes.

It's about whole industries/sectors getting destroyed by a single company. 'Overhiring' is a result of changed business situations. Companies don't overhire hundreds and thousands of people intentionally to let them go. They hired to fill a need. Market conditions changed, competition changed.

Entry level hiring is mostly destroyed mainly because of Anthropic's messaging. Other labs don't push that hard on every vertical because they created a skill with some .md files - and pretend is a highly skilled AI.

I'm not against Anthropic doing it, I'm just saying what they're doing at the moment. Given enough time, Anthropic will be coming after every job that can be done by a computer - including yours and mine.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#630

Post by joe_mamba »

Fricken wrote: post #612
godelski wrote: post #571

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> it was at the time nowhere near sufficient to to deliver L4 autonomy It still isn't. Show me a video based only vision system that's even L3. Current systems like Waymo are using video, radar, and lidar. Even lidar isn't enough. Each of them provides a different benefit. I mean radar can even do something humans can't, see in fog, why would you not want radar? And I mean at that time Tesla was using 1.2MP cameras..…

The original Autopilot team had some great talent. Elon fired them and then sued them because they wouldn't shut up about Lidar. Elon couldn't say "Every new Tesla is FSD ready" if every new Tesla needed Lidar for that to be true, that was the constraint. The Woz was on TV in an interview saying he bought 2 Model 3s, one for himself and one he could put to work after the robotaxi update. Regular everyday suckers too…

>The original Autopilot team had some great talent. Elon fired them and then sued them because they wouldn't shut up about Lidar.

OK, so then why didn't Karpathy also leave in protest? Unless he also supported Elon's decision in which case he's complicit and just as responsible as ELon.

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