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Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#612

Earlier quoted context omitted.

With a cursory glance at Tesla's hardware the rest of the self driving car industry quickly surmised that it was at the time nowhere near sufficient to to deliver L4 autonomy, and that's before sensor modalities entered the equation. Karpathy was either BSing for money, or he actually believed the hype. Either way it was a bad look.

> it was at the time nowhere near sufficient to to deliver L4 autonomy It still isn't. Show me a video based only vision system that's even L3. Current systems like Waymo are using video, radar, and lidar. Even lidar isn't enough. Each of them provides a different benefit. I mean radar can even do something humans can't, see in fog, why would you not want radar? And I mean at that time Tesla was using 1.2MP cameras..…

The original Autopilot team had some great talent. Elon fired them and then sued them because they wouldn't shut up about Lidar. Elon couldn't say "Every new Tesla is FSD ready" if every new Tesla needed Lidar for that to be true, that was the constraint.

The Woz was on TV in an interview saying he bought 2 Model 3s, one for himself and one he could put to work after the robotaxi update. Regular everyday suckers too were taking on crippling debt to buy Teslas because their cars were gonna pay for themselves after the magical update.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#614

Anyone else fearing Anthropic more and more each day? Not from a perspective that they are doing so well, but rather that it's like an industry tornado, sucking up and destroying everything in it's path.

Yes. I think Anthropic's success with claude code + cowork and the way it's shredding through white-collar work is basically cementing the thesis of Geoffrey Hinton's latest paper ( https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12559-026-105... ). I highly recommend reading it in full, but briefly: 1. Copernican Revolution -> We aren't the center of the universe 2. The Darwinian Revolution -> We aren't the pinnacle…

> cementing the thesis of Geoffrey Hinton's

Didnt he say there wont be any need for radiologists?

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#616
post #246

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Specifically it looks like he's planning to extend the ideas from https://github.com/karpathy/autoresearch into a larger effort towards recursive training improvement [1]: > Excited to welcome Andrej to the Pretraining team! He'll be building a team focused on using Claude to accelerate pretraining research itself. I can’t think of anyone better suited to do it — looking forward to what we build together! [1] https:/…

Am I the only one who wasn’t particularly impressed by AutoResearch? If you looked at what the agent was actually doing, it was just tuning parameters mostly, not really trying different novel approaches. I couldn’t help myself but consider this mostly a very inefficient variant of hyperparameter optimization, but someone correct me if I’m wrong, I may be looking at this too pessimistic.

I was trying to look options outside the box (everything is more context or RAG) and been using this approach for about a month with good results. https://github.com/VDP89/fscars

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#617

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Karpathy is a co-founder of OpenAI.

Sam Altman is a co-founder of OpenAI. Do you think he could pass an entry level interview for a frontier lab?

For sales and marketing department, yes, he would be leading it very quickly. Very few people are as good at lyi.. I means sales as him.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#618

I wonder what will happen with EurekaLabs now. I checked their X account, but the posts are now restricted. However, the background picture... that old AI-generated image feels surprisingly cringe ( https://x.com/EurekaLabsAI/header_photo ), incredible how much GenAI has improved since that image was created.

Cringe? Some of those background faces are utterly horrifying. Or maybe he's trying to tell us something by populating a future world with skull-faced mutants.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#619

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not talking about static websites. I'm talking about tech-savvy non-engineers who have been able to build fully-functional dynamic websites (with user registration, dashboards, integrations with third-party services, etc.) using AI. I think way too many engineers underestimate the ability of tech-savvy non-engineers to use AI to build quite sophisticated applications today. Would these scale to millions of users?…

> dynamic websites (with user registration, dashboards, integrations with third-party services, etc.) What do you think a CMS is?

It's so funny to read these things. Thanks to AI people can do so many things.

I mean they could do them also in the 90s with microsoft access and a bit of clicking and copy pasting. But now it costs 10000x more so it's better.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#620

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes. I think Anthropic's success with claude code + cowork and the way it's shredding through white-collar work is basically cementing the thesis of Geoffrey Hinton's latest paper ( https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12559-026-105... ). I highly recommend reading it in full, but briefly: 1. Copernican Revolution -> We aren't the center of the universe 2. The Darwinian Revolution -> We aren't the pinnacle…

> The hundreds of billions of dollars pouring into data center build-out basically hinges on this thesis, and frankly I trust the judgements of the billionaires financing these deals better than LLM-naysayers on hackernews (not to mention the non-public info they have access to). I actually think both perspectives can be true. If you look at (IMO) the most rational takes of "LLM-naysayers on hackernews", it's not tha…

> The problem is there are still tons of jobs that actually don't require much high-level, human-only thinking where it's easy to see a clear path where AI obliterates all those jobs pretty quickly.

I heard this million times, but never examples of those jobs, at least ones that haven’t been decimated by automation already years ago. There was very little need for elevator attendants and data entrist already in 2023. Company I work for has robot doing the lifting in an automated warehouse, but there still guys there doing so many various things changing day by day that they are virtually indispensable for the whole corporation.

Another this is that of you destroy say 25-50% of all workforce with no replacement you destroy consumer demand and cause a massive Depression. I would fuckin invent new jobs where I Amodei.

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