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I’ve joined Anthropic

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Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#391

Earlier quoted context omitted.

yeah but i don't think there's any large org which is 'good guys'. Anyone who wants to become a monopoly or very very large is probably suffering from some sort of a neural condition (psychosis, if plural) which we will study 100 years from now. Right now they are rewarded but I think our little minds forget to take the negative externalities into account. I am working on a short story on this topic which is set in 2…

The difference is that Anthropic pretend they're the good guys, while the rest don't.

It's like the Mike prince arc in the show billions

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#392
post #207

He’s a great educator and seems like a genuinely nice guy, at least on interviews. I hope he continues with his teaching career on the side, although the crazy amount of NDAs he probably had to sign may make that effort a bit difficult.

He is a great educator, not only for ML. He taught speedcubing under the badmefisto pseudonym.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#394
post #298

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> And 2 years is probably pretty average for the whole tech industry. maybe for a fungible CRUD engineer. I think Karpathy is in a different league and I'm certainly surprised to hear this fact. I would expect someone like him to sit within a certain lab for a long time

That seems like the opposite. Why would someone with high market value stay in one place? 2 years is basically optimal - you vest 50%, maybe collect a promotion, do some good work and learn a lot, and then get to move on for another solid bump/ promotion and a new set of stocks. I expect the people with low market value to be the ones sticking around labs for long periods of time, they don't have the option to move a…

It's incredibly hard to do good, novel work in 2 years for engineering. You'll likely not learn much either.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#395

Anyone else fearing Anthropic more and more each day? Not from a perspective that they are doing so well, but rather that it's like an industry tornado, sucking up and destroying everything in it's path.

Name three things they destroyed?

Not yet, but soon… Bun

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#396
post #127

We are in the early stages of AI. Anthropic is Altavista and OpenAI is AskJeeves or something. 10-20 years from now the scene will be unrecognizable and all of this will be inconsequential but at the same time it is the fondation on which tomorrow is built.

Well, one big difference now is that you need to billions to become the next big player. The barriers to entry are incredibly high, if you plan on competing against the big players. Of course, there could be some future lab or startup which completely revolutionizes the field by going for some approach that doesn't require a boatload of money to train a model, but for now, we're stuck with the LLMs and the costs they…

People say deepseek is about 5 months behind frontier, they claim their final training run was 7 figures. The trail blazing is likely making it cheaper to follow not more expensive.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#397

Funny. He foreshadowed this in a recent interview. Saying that he may fall out of touch with evolving approaches and if any of the frontier labs would have him, he’d be interested. https://youtu.be/kwSVtQ7dziU?t=47m50s

Good for him, his public work these last ~1-2 years has been influential for me, as I'm sure it has for others. I even share his concern about struggling to keep pace with the rate of change lately, and agree that my working in a frontier lab or any other such environment would certainly help with that! I have a weird background mix of analytic philosophy, linguistics/NLP, propaganda research, and long-term instituti…

> I have a weird background mix of analytic philosophy, linguistics/NLP, propaganda research, and long-term institutional data science/strategy work, which unfortunately does not make ATS systems especially low-friction as I try to jump industries.

There's a choice to be made between helpfully defeating someone's ATS and searching for more clueful employers. I'll probably be walking paper resumes into local offices next time around anyhow.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#398

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

You can still respect the work of someone who is a complete pos. The same way you can criticize the bad work of a very nice person.

Musk being a PoS is a separate issue. My main concern is Karpathy taking about Musk as someone who is smart and makes good technical decisions.

From all the interviews and stuff that came out within the past few years, its pretty clear that Musks only contribution to anything is just throwing money at stuff while also scamming suppliers, governments, and so on. The dude has no technical knowledge of his own, he just lies and lies about what actually happens, and takes credit for accomplishments that aren't his.

When you hear someone who is supposedly smart talk about a dumb person like he is smart, it raises questions on whether that person that is doing the talking is actually smart.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#399
post #207

He’s a great educator and seems like a genuinely nice guy, at least on interviews. I hope he continues with his teaching career on the side, although the crazy amount of NDAs he probably had to sign may make that effort a bit difficult.

He is a great educator, not only for ML. He taught speedcubing under the badmefisto pseudonym.

Oh my god, my two worlds just had an insane collision.

I learned speed cubing from badmefisto when I was in middle school, ~16yr ago (today my ao100 is ~15s).

I never knew it was Karpathy. What an insane knowledge drop. Thanks for sharing!

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#400
post #325

Earlier quoted context omitted.

this pre-IPO is gonna be incredible

It's going to be dramatic - it's unclear how much of their DAUs are organic and how much is through their PE usage deals. There's a large amount of organic usage certainly, it's a useful tool, but there are quite a few of the tell tale signs that they have an internal number they want their user acquisition to be at and they're failing to meet that through organic growth.

I have this image in mind [1] - I wonder how it shifted over time.

[1] https://imgur.com/a/3zBZ27I

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