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I’ve joined Anthropic

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Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#251

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Name three things they destroyed?

[flagged]

1. Bun is right there on Github. You can download can use it right now.

2. Sure, that's one thing.

3. Coefficient Bio is not a thing. They don't have a product. Ever. It's just Anthropic hired 10 people for a ridiculous amount of premium bonus. (Time will prove it's a bad decision, btw)

4. (snorts)

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#252

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The self drive on my Tesla is damn near perfect. I haven’t driven my car in around 6 months.

FWIW while Karpathy was at Tesla he was basically working on the vision component. The actual driving component (using vision as an input) was originally all C++. They may have started migrating parts of the driving component from C++ to neural networks while Karpathy was there, but most of it happened after he left in 2022, with the big switch being FSD 12 in 2024. User reports from before/after FSD 12 are like nigh…

I was never convinced by the "vision only" approach - I don't see the point of throwing out or refusing to have additional data from other sensors.

I suppose that with modern ML they can just toss it in the blender and reap the benefits ...

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#253
post #162
post #27

Karpathy is probably one of the biggest names in AI, I do wonder where he fits now. He's sort of bounced around Tesla back to OpenAI back to independent. He sort of left OpenAI before it really hit the inflection point, and he was at Tesla for a long time and they didn't really deliver what they wanted on the AI side. Now he's bounced around a few places. I understand that the leaders in this market play this silly g…

Tesla self driving works. I don’t know if Karpathy deserves credit for that or not.

Yes, no driver needed at all. Your Tesla makes money for you while you sleep at home.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#254
Honestly happy he’s back at a foundation lab. He will have insane impact there. Of course one of the best educators in the world it’s a bit sad he gave up building and education tool.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#255
Congrats to Karpathy. I wonder whether this is the right time to join Anthropic. Looks like it from the outside.

But - unpopular opinion - I believe Anthropic is one open-source model away (that can code well) from a massive revenue/stock crash. We're already seeing Claude's cost escalate to astronomical levels. Most coding work is medium difficulty in the grand scheme of things. So the future is an open source model small enough to fit in your local 16GB VRAM, giving you a Claude Code like experience for zero token cost. That's going to wipe out most of Anthropic's current revenue base. It does have several cool initiatives in the pipeline, but bad things happen once your bread and butter is threatened (just ask OpenAI).

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#257
post #255

Congrats to Karpathy. I wonder whether this is the right time to join Anthropic. Looks like it from the outside. But - unpopular opinion - I believe Anthropic is one open-source model away (that can code well) from a massive revenue/stock crash. We're already seeing Claude's cost escalate to astronomical levels. Most coding work is medium difficulty in the grand scheme of things. So the future is an open source model…

those models are light years away from opus or sonnett right now though -- is the context problem really solvable?

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#258
post #255

Congrats to Karpathy. I wonder whether this is the right time to join Anthropic. Looks like it from the outside. But - unpopular opinion - I believe Anthropic is one open-source model away (that can code well) from a massive revenue/stock crash. We're already seeing Claude's cost escalate to astronomical levels. Most coding work is medium difficulty in the grand scheme of things. So the future is an open source model…

GLM 5.1 is almost there. These guys should be scared. The valuations these companies have is insanity.

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#259
post #127

We are in the early stages of AI. Anthropic is Altavista and OpenAI is AskJeeves or something. 10-20 years from now the scene will be unrecognizable and all of this will be inconsequential but at the same time it is the fondation on which tomorrow is built.

So we get ad flooded useless AIs?

Re: I’ve joined Anthropic

#260

Earlier quoted context omitted.

To be fair, Mythos is probably one of the most significant marketing pushes in the industry in both impact and investment. I am sure there is an element of reality in it's capabilities, but there's also a significant amount of "We don't have the compute to handle this at scale", and "look look, we have the best model. It's so good that you can't even compare it to other models. That is how good we are."

I’m noticing a real disconnect in the user base about this The Claude maximalists that can never see any wrong in anything and the users that care about actual capability These guys are going to be in for a rude awakening when the Chinese are steamrolling us with data centers you can see from space and better models, Amodei will tell you that himself

Hey, it's not like the Chinese have a serious demographic crisis they can't cope with, and their only hope is to significantly increase productivity per worker.
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