IDK, but I have three or four vibe-coded 0.1%-Photoshops already - small utility apps, all self-contained, client-side, static, zero build-step browser tools, each of them solving a very particular problem for me. Things like, drop an image, get a printable label sheet that force-overrides all margin and scaling settings (recent upgrade to a tool I had that did that with plaintext address data), or metadata-preservin…
LLMs are approaching the affordances that OpenSource claimed to offer but never did.
Non-coders are discovering the basics of - for example - Python scripting and running with it.
If this gets easy enough - questionable so far, but maybe one day - all code will be "Do this thing to this photo/document/music project."
The big toolbox products will become redundant.
Everyone is distacted by content generation, but if LLMs get good enough it will be possible to go back a step and give everyone a toolbox factory they can use to imagine and build whatever they want, with full control, instead of the current stab-around-until-you-find-something generative approach.