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The Global Fertility Crisis Is Worse Than You Probably Think

derekthompson.org

1–10 of 54 posts

Re: The Global Fertility Crisis Is Worse Than You Probably Think

#3
> “Only two things are important right now in life: fertility and deep learning,” the University of Pennsylvania economist Jesús Fernández-Villaverde said at the conclusion of a recent lecture. “Everything else is noise. Once you start thinking about these, it’s hard to start thinking about anything else.”

Not sure if I agree but that's quite a memorable quote

Re: The Global Fertility Crisis Is Worse Than You Probably Think

#4
post #3

> “Only two things are important right now in life: fertility and deep learning,” the University of Pennsylvania economist Jesús Fernández-Villaverde said at the conclusion of a recent lecture. “Everything else is noise. Once you start thinking about these, it’s hard to start thinking about anything else.” Not sure if I agree but that's quite a memorable quote

Madness. “The only things that matter are my hobby and my favourite right-wing trope”

Re: The Global Fertility Crisis Is Worse Than You Probably Think

#5

if you want a thing, pay for it. the economics of childrearing aren't workable for most people without a huge cut to standard of living.

I think Derek Thompson is a hack. Based on his media appearances from the Abundance tour, he seems to be very libertarian but in a (neo-)liberal space that pays his bills.

Re: The Global Fertility Crisis Is Worse Than You Probably Think

#7

if you want a thing, pay for it. the economics of childrearing aren't workable for most people without a huge cut to standard of living.

What I find interesting is that, it really seems that the opposite is true.

My great-grandparents (and their entire ancestry that I can trace, all the way back to 1807) were punishingly, desperately: poor.

Yet, it seems they averaged a heck of a lot more children than me, or my contemporaries. And their children largely lived to be adults with only a few minor exceptions.

The adults themselves didn't seem to live long though, most records of marriages I have are for 17-18 year olds who were already orphans.

Re: The Global Fertility Crisis Is Worse Than You Probably Think

#8
post #3

> “Only two things are important right now in life: fertility and deep learning,” the University of Pennsylvania economist Jesús Fernández-Villaverde said at the conclusion of a recent lecture. “Everything else is noise. Once you start thinking about these, it’s hard to start thinking about anything else.” Not sure if I agree but that's quite a memorable quote

Maybe humanity will have more babies when AI takes over, capitalism implodes and we’re all farming and crafting things from scratch, since we’re forced out of the “economy”.

The house always… wins?

Re: The Global Fertility Crisis Is Worse Than You Probably Think

#9
post #3

> “Only two things are important right now in life: fertility and deep learning,” the University of Pennsylvania economist Jesús Fernández-Villaverde said at the conclusion of a recent lecture. “Everything else is noise. Once you start thinking about these, it’s hard to start thinking about anything else.” Not sure if I agree but that's quite a memorable quote

Kind of reminded me of the prelude to Handmaid's Tale

Re: The Global Fertility Crisis Is Worse Than You Probably Think

#10

if you want a thing, pay for it. the economics of childrearing aren't workable for most people without a huge cut to standard of living.

The countries that do pay for it don’t have significantly higher fertility rates.

I’d say there’s an elephant in the room: Childbirth sucks. If you want women to willingly subject themselves to that, you need either a culture that virtually requires it-

And I want to take a moment to emphasise that I don’t like nor want this solution, and would fight anyone who tries for it.

-or you need to pay them well above the actual economic cost of rearing a child, because the process itself is strongly negative. Yes, having a child itself can be great. Eventually, several years in, when they start to become a person.

That’s true, but if you ask any of the women I know, they’ll tell you they’re perfectly happy to keep it at one.

That’s in Norway, by the way, so not one of those countries where you get zero support.

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