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Iran mulls taking control of all 7 cables passing through Strait of Hormuz

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Re: Iran mulls taking control of all 7 cables passing through Strait of Hormuz

#51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You know that the Iran of then is almost completely unrelated to the Iran of now culturally, politically and even religiously due to... err... “foreign intervention”, right?

Obviously. The point I'm addressing is that Iran does not have to maintain hostile relations towards Israel. The two countries had friendly relations for decades prior. Iranians themselves also want to end hostilities with Israel. Polling of Iranians citizens show 69% of people believe the "Islamic Republic should stop calling for the destruction of Israel" [0]. The tens of billions of dollars Iran invests into fight…

> If Iran had a different foreign policy

That's my point. Iran did, and it did not work out for them so why would they try again?

> Polling of Iranians citizens show 69% of people

67% of people believe Trump is doing a bad job; 56% believe the US shouldn't be in this war; 63% believe the US should stop supporting Israel. They're all roughly the same % as your quote, does that mean the US should change foreign policy?

> Iran's situation was entirely avoidable

Sure, by not dropping bombs on them while negotiation with them?

Re: Iran mulls taking control of all 7 cables passing through Strait of Hormuz

#52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

You've invented an argument I didn't make and then attacked it. That's a classic strawman. I never mentioned a Western-backed dictatorship, the Shah, or any conditions about Israel recognition. You invented that. My argument is simple: 60%+ of Iranians want regime change. 69% want the government to stop funding foreign proxy wars. The regime has a 12% approval rating. Iranians want something else. I cited polling dat…

> I never mentioned a Western-backed dictatorship, the Shah...

You stated:

> Iran's leadership changed post-1979...

The pre-1979 leadership was the Shah, who was effectively a Western-backed dictator. You conveniently ignore this fact. Why don't you want to acknowledge it?

Your statement, "Iran's leadership changed post-1979...", also conveniently glosses over the fact that there was a revolution that overthrew this Western-backed dictatorship. The leadership just didn't passively change.

> My argument is simple: 60%+ of Iranians want regime change. 69% want the government to stop funding foreign proxy wars. The regime has a 12% approval rating. Iranians want something else. I cited polling data showing what Iranians want themselves. You can read the links I provided. The policies of the current regime are deeply unpopular.

I would point out that polling reliably in Iran is, for obvious reasons, very difficult but even if we accept for argument's sake the notion that the majority of Iranians want something other than the current regime, which seems entirely logical, that doesn't actually tell us what they want to replace it with.

Your own source (GAMAAN) has stated:

"The demand for a democratic government is widespread among Iranians, though at the same time, a notable portion of society shows an inclination toward individual authoritarianism. No political or civil figure currently enjoys majority support in society. Each political cluster represents only a portion (between 5% to 35%) of the population, and no single opposition force is capable of representing the full diversity present within the country."

https://www.iranintl.com/en/202508212335

The implication of this is that Iranians don't hold a singular view of what a replacement to the Islamic Republic should look like. There is no guarantee that whatever comes next would be significantly "better" and many reasons to believe that if the Islamic Republic falls under certain circumstances, it could lead to a very precarious situation for Iranians, the region and the world.

> I did not advocate for a Western-backed dictatorship. The false choice you're presenting (Islamic republic vs Western puppet state) isn't the one Iranians are making. Iranians are not asking for a Western-backed dictatorship. Iranians are saying "stop spending our money blowing up the Middle East and end this pointless forever war with Israel". Iranians want a different foreign policy.

The problem is that you haven't articulated a specific, realistic vision for what would come next. I might be wrong but the just of your comments seems to suggest that you believe the US and Israeli war against Iran will led to something good when there's scant evidence of that.

Ironically, on the other side of the equation, a majority of Americans have been asking their government for more than two decades to stop spending their money blowing up the Middle East.

The US (and Israel) launched this war against Iran and it's deeply unpopular with the majority of Americans.

If you think it's "utterly insane" for Iran to spend 2-3% of its GDP (tens of billions of dollars a year) on its military spending, surely you must think it's "utterly insane" that the US spends a similar percentage of its much, much larger GDP (amounting to hundreds of billions of dollars a year) on its military every year. Us military spending is more than double China's, and China is the country with the next highest level of military spending in the world. Meanwhile, millions of Americans are homeless, and millions more struggle to afford basic necessities like healthcare and housing.

> You also accused me of not caring about Iranians, while also defending a regime that 88% of Iranians disapprove of. That's a strange way to show you care about Iranians.

It's completely disingenuous to suggest that anything in my comment defended the Iranian regime. I don't know if you care about Iranians or not, but if you do, you surely would be very concerned that the person claiming he wants to liberate them has threatened to destroy "every single Power Plant, and every single Bridge, in Iran" (a war crime) and end their "whole civilization" (genocide).

You want the Iranian government to build infrastructure, invest in its people and build the economy. That sounds good. But I fail to see how the US and Israel destroying Iran's infrastructure, killing innocent civilians and suffocating the Iranian economy is going to lead to that.

Re: Iran mulls taking control of all 7 cables passing through Strait of Hormuz

#53
post #2

By "control" Iran doesn't mean they will operate or maintain these cables. They mean "pay up, or we'll destroy these cables when we feel like it". Modern day piracy.

[flagged]

Write a good article explaining why and maybe someone will post it to hackernews so we can discuss it as on-topic.

Re: Iran mulls taking control of all 7 cables passing through Strait of Hormuz

#54
post #2

By "control" Iran doesn't mean they will operate or maintain these cables. They mean "pay up, or we'll destroy these cables when we feel like it". Modern day piracy.

so, whats americas hamhanded war called?

"The Distraction of the Moment"

Re: Iran mulls taking control of all 7 cables passing through Strait of Hormuz

#55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

Write a good article explaining why and maybe someone will post it to hackernews so we can discuss it as on-topic.

Or you could look up the dictionary definition of piracy and save everyone the trouble of explaining it to you like you’re a child

Re: Iran mulls taking control of all 7 cables passing through Strait of Hormuz

#56
post #2

By "control" Iran doesn't mean they will operate or maintain these cables. They mean "pay up, or we'll destroy these cables when we feel like it". Modern day piracy.

so, whats americas hamhanded war called?

Operation epic fail

Re: Iran mulls taking control of all 7 cables passing through Strait of Hormuz

#57
Von Clausewitz thought it was a fool's errand to try to have a bloodless war. Who is Von Clausewitz? One of the most famous military strategists of all time who lived two centuries ago and spent his entire life at war. He pointed to many examples from his time of foolish populations and leaders who thought they could get away with "humane" versions of war, then were smashed by those who held no such compunctions.

Americans and the west need to set aside the Disney and Netflix propaganda we are drowned in and recognize that when we fight, we need to go all in including troops on the ground.

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