Live data from Hacker News

How many founders do successful tech companies have?

philosophically.com

11–20 of 23 posts

Re: How many founders do successful tech companies have?

#11
The information here about a single founder backs the "doing it alone" thing, the top topic here in HN. (http://ryancarson.com/post/35939367603/you-can-do-it-alone)

I'm happy that there are a bunch of single founder companies. I'm planning to start one, as a single founder.

Re: How many founders do successful tech companies have?

#12
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Makes me ask, what is this doing on HN? 1. Collecting karma for the submitter. ("Why X is foo" followed by "why X is NOT foo" followed by "Foo is irrelevant, it's actually all about bar"). 2. Promoting the guy on the other side of the link. Unfortunately Vibhu Norby is one droplet in the indistinguishable white mist that makes up the ever-expanding Svbtle Borg, so it probably isn't working all that well. (Yes, I to…

Actually, I thought it was interesting to know what the breakdown was amongst successful startups since I've never seen any data about it, only anecdotes. I did the research. It took several hours. I happen to have a place where I can share the research with people that might care and have something to add. Clearly, I am mistaken.

I guess I'm just cynical about a pattern that I see played out here on HN a lot.

Whenever controversial something hits the front page, there's always a spate of quick and easy responses that turn up in the next few days.

That being said, I think my list of problems still remains.

You say that you have a breakdown of how many founders different successful companies have.

Well, you are already ahead of Ryan Carson and Paul Graham in that you've risen above an exchange of anecdotes at 20 paces.

But I think you oversold it in the title.

"How many founders do successful tech companies have?" is not supported by the data.

First, it's based on a list of "fastest growing". Lots of companies grow fast and then abruptly stop growing. You just substituted one metric in for "success" and didn't say that's what you did.

Second, the list is based on self-submitted reports (scroll down to "Selection and Qualifying Criteria") -- "Deloitte has not audited the ranking ... Some companies that may be eligible to appear in the ranking are not included because they did not submit the required information or otherwise declined to participate".

Third, it doesn't deal with failures, which is more interesting because that is the default condition.

Fourth, it's restricted to North American companies only.

Fifth, how did you define "founder"? That seems to me to still be a slippery wildcard in this whole discussion.

Take Ryan Carson's case. He owns most of the equity. Is he the sole founder? If "founder" is based on legal control, yes. What about the day-to-day? He says he has an employee who is a de-facto co-leader. Are they a founder? Maybe not. What if they'd been there right from the start? And so on.

Good on you for doing the tedious slog of looking up a hundred companies, but ... well, I think you've oversold on the title.

And that's what my gut, knee-jerk, ex-Slashdot cynicism reacted to.

Re: How many founders do successful tech companies have?

#13
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Actually, I thought it was interesting to know what the breakdown was amongst successful startups since I've never seen any data about it, only anecdotes. I did the research. It took several hours. I happen to have a place where I can share the research with people that might care and have something to add. Clearly, I am mistaken.

I guess I'm just cynical about a pattern that I see played out here on HN a lot. Whenever controversial something hits the front page, there's always a spate of quick and easy responses that turn up in the next few days. That being said, I think my list of problems still remains. You say that you have a breakdown of how many founders different successful companies have. Well, you are already ahead of Ryan Carson and…

Ok, got you. I can answer these. Indeed, it is not representing all fast growing companies all around the world. However, it doesn't have to. Like I said in the post, there is no reason to believe that biases how many founders they have. Companies with two founders are not more likely to submit themselves to such a report. Anyway, almost all of them are businesses generating tons of revenue. A large percentage of them are public companies and many are 10-15 years old. Feel free to look them up.

A founder is someone listed as a co-founder either on the management page, Wikipedia, or in press mentions. It's not really slippery. It took so much time because I wanted to make sure I was doing it right.

Re: How many founders do successful tech companies have?

#14
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I guess I'm just cynical about a pattern that I see played out here on HN a lot. Whenever controversial something hits the front page, there's always a spate of quick and easy responses that turn up in the next few days. That being said, I think my list of problems still remains. You say that you have a breakdown of how many founders different successful companies have. Well, you are already ahead of Ryan Carson and…

Ok, got you. I can answer these. Indeed, it is not representing all fast growing companies all around the world. However, it doesn't have to. Like I said in the post, there is no reason to believe that biases how many founders they have. Companies with two founders are not more likely to submit themselves to such a report. Anyway, almost all of them are businesses generating tons of revenue. A large percentage of the…

In your position I'd have pointed out that the data set shows a clear departure from Benford's Law, suggesting that something about single founders is weird.

> Like I said in the post, there is no reason to believe that biases how many founders they have.

Different cultures have different ideas about individual risk and teamwork.

> tons of revenue ... 10-15 years old.

Gosh, you mean young companies have more scope for rapid growth and therefore wind up on a self-selected list of rapidly growing companies?

In no way could this sample be biased against failed young companies.

Also unanswered: are there fewer single founders because there are fewer single founders to begin with, or is it because they fail more often?

Re: How many founders do successful tech companies have?

#15
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

More top technology companies are started by 2-person founders. If you had no other data other than what is presented, and there isn't, you would want to start a company with 2 founders. Obviously this is not taking into account how many businesses are started with different numbers of co-founders. Perhaps 50% of all people who start companies as a single founder end up on this list. We don't know that. The idea I ha…

Erm, ok, let's follow that through. I don't even need to look at the data to say that in the US most successful companies have at least one white, male founder. Does that mean that if you start a tech company and are non-white or non-male you should make sure to partner up with one to ensure success? Is it just a bias due to demographics? It it a real factor related to an intrinsic advantage of white males in making…

If a greater percentage of successful businesses are started with 2 people, there must be a good reason for it. If businesses were more likely to be successful with one person, wouldn't you see more people opting to go down that route in aggregate, irrespective of anything else? Businesses are units designed to succeed, they would not (in aggregate) do something to counter their own success, especially with something non-obvious like how many co-founders you start with.

Re: How many founders do successful tech companies have?

#16
"If it is true that greater than 70% of all companies are started or owned by one person, you would be able to make the conclusion that more single founders fail than should on average."

Not really ... it only indications that more single founders fail to grow fast enough to make Deloitte's list.

Re: How many founders do successful tech companies have?

#17
"There is an argument going on at Hacker News about whether you should found companies as a single founder or not, spurred by Ryan Carson."

This mischaracterizes the dialog.

The issue is about a specific type of company, startups, and a specific definition of "startup," that used by venture capital.

PG's comments were as narrowly focused as his essays and YC itself. His data set was not the Tech Sector, but a particular type of business.

Re: How many founders do successful tech companies have?

#19
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Erm, ok, let's follow that through. I don't even need to look at the data to say that in the US most successful companies have at least one white, male founder. Does that mean that if you start a tech company and are non-white or non-male you should make sure to partner up with one to ensure success? Is it just a bias due to demographics? It it a real factor related to an intrinsic advantage of white males in making…

If a greater percentage of successful businesses are started with 2 people, there must be a good reason for it. If businesses were more likely to be successful with one person, wouldn't you see more people opting to go down that route in aggregate, irrespective of anything else? Businesses are units designed to succeed, they would not (in aggregate) do something to counter their own success, especially with something…

No, if the proportion of 2 people vs 1 person startup is skewed, which is very likely.

Also, the amount of founders could be neutral to the success, in such case neither is countering their own success, and again just a matter of samples.

Correlation is not...

Re: How many founders do successful tech companies have?

#20
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

More top technology companies are started by 2-person founders. If you had no other data other than what is presented, and there isn't, you would want to start a company with 2 founders. Obviously this is not taking into account how many businesses are started with different numbers of co-founders. Perhaps 50% of all people who start companies as a single founder end up on this list. We don't know that. The idea I ha…

Erm, ok, let's follow that through. I don't even need to look at the data to say that in the US most successful companies have at least one white, male founder. Does that mean that if you start a tech company and are non-white or non-male you should make sure to partner up with one to ensure success? Is it just a bias due to demographics? It it a real factor related to an intrinsic advantage of white males in making…

>I don't even need to look at the data to say that in the US most successful companies have at least one white, male founder. Does that mean that if you start a tech company and are non-white or non-male you should make sure to partner up with one to ensure success?

I feel This statement assigns specific attributes to the data-points in question where as the original data is more generalized (and suited to the argument). Doesn't the assignment of random attributes skew the point being made and just try to forcibly fit a separate tangential argument?

Post reply on HN