SatoshiGuesser – Roll for Bitcoin • Hacker News Board

Re: SatoshiGuesser – Roll for Bitcoin

#21

Post by CobrastanJorji » Thu, Apr 30, 2026, 5:18 PM UTC

What's really fun is that, if you win and do anything about it, Bitcoin's value immediately crashes.

Re: SatoshiGuesser – Roll for Bitcoin

#22

Post by sunrunner » Thu, Apr 30, 2026, 5:18 PM UTC

rokkamokka wrote: post #17

m3kw9 wrote: post #9

Why wouldn't the host just send themselves the key first and then have everyone pull slot machine for them. If you do win it, you are not seeing a penny if you roll from that site.

There's no realistic chance it'll be correct anyway

Not with that attitude it won’t

Re: SatoshiGuesser – Roll for Bitcoin

#23

Post by amarant » Thu, Apr 30, 2026, 5:24 PM UTC

I dunno if I'm missing something, but I can't see the actual guessed key anywhere on the site?

So if I win, I won't be able to actually claim the Mooney's?

Re: SatoshiGuesser – Roll for Bitcoin

#24

Post by pixel_popping » Thu, Apr 30, 2026, 5:24 PM UTC

sunrunner wrote: post #22

rokkamokka wrote: post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's no realistic chance it'll be correct anyway

Not with that attitude it won’t

Yeah, people really have no faith.

Re: SatoshiGuesser – Roll for Bitcoin

#25

Post by CobrastanJorji » Thu, Apr 30, 2026, 5:25 PM UTC

ivanjermakov wrote: post #20

sciencesama wrote: post #19

can use collaborated list to remove the random numbers that failed already.

That's gonna be a nice storage bill!

Let's see...2^241 or so possible 256 bit numbers, so that's 256 * 2^241, so that's....10^50 yottabytes. Obviously we're gonna need cloud storage for all this, so let's say that's about 2 cents per gigabyte/month, so that's...2.2614 × 10^63 dollars per month?

Actually, why does the site list the odds as ~1 in 5.27 × 10⁷²? That's 2^241, but it's picking random 256 bit numbers. Is it because there are so many valid hits?

Re: SatoshiGuesser – Roll for Bitcoin

#26

Post by Hakkin » Thu, Apr 30, 2026, 5:27 PM UTC

amarant wrote: post #23

I dunno if I'm missing something, but I can't see the actual guessed key anywhere on the site? So if I win, I won't be able to actually claim the Mooney's?

The key shows up if you win, you can simulate it by adding ?devwin=1 to the URL.

Re: SatoshiGuesser – Roll for Bitcoin

#27

Post by kibwen » Thu, Apr 30, 2026, 5:27 PM UTC

sunir wrote: post #4

I don't get it. That wasn't hard. What do I do with the key now that I have it?

Same here. I guess "xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx12345" made it easy for Satoshi to remember, though.

Re: SatoshiGuesser – Roll for Bitcoin

#28

Post by ex-aws-dude » Thu, Apr 30, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC

Question is does the dev sneak in some secret notification code if someone hits it?

Re: SatoshiGuesser – Roll for Bitcoin

#29

Post by aqme28 » Thu, Apr 30, 2026, 5:35 PM UTC

ex-aws-dude wrote: post #28

Question is does the dev sneak in some secret notification code if someone hits it?

No reason to--no one will hit. You have much much much chance at guessing a random number that solves the next bitcoin block and mining the old fashioned way.

Re: SatoshiGuesser – Roll for Bitcoin

#30

Post by felooboolooomba » Thu, Apr 30, 2026, 5:36 PM UTC

CobrastanJorji wrote: post #21

What's really fun is that, if you win and do anything about it, Bitcoin's value immediately crashes.

Yes, but I think it'll back up within a year. It's crazy.