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Microsoft and OpenAI end their exclusive and revenue-sharing deal

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Re: Microsoft and OpenAI end their exclusive and revenue-sharing deal

#11
Interesting side effect of this is that Google Cloud may now be the only hype scaler that can resell all 3 of the labs models? Maybe I'm misinterpreting this, but that would be a notable development, and I don't see why Google would allow Gemini to be resold through any of the other cloud providers.

Might really increase the utility of those GCP credits.

Re: Microsoft and OpenAI end their exclusive and revenue-sharing deal

#12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It also restricted Microsoft from "partnering" with anyone else. Wouldn't be surprised if we see another news like Amazon, Alphabet investing in Anthropic.

I don't think Microsoft ever had that restriction. They partnered with everyone already. https://blogs.microsoft.com/blog/2025/11/18/microsoft-nvidia... https://azure.microsoft.com/en-us/blog/deepseek-r1-is-now-av... https://ai.azure.com/

Also Mistral e.g. https://azure.microsoft.com/en-us/blog/microsoft-and-mistral...

AFAICT they are just hedging their bets left and right still. Also feels like they are winning in the sense that despite pretty much all those products being roughly equivalent... they are still running on their cloud, Azure. So even though they seem unable to capture IP anymore, they are still managing to get paid for managing the infrastructure.

Re: Microsoft and OpenAI end their exclusive and revenue-sharing deal

#13
This agreement feels so friendly towards OpenAI that it's not obvious to me why Microsoft accepted this. I guess Microsoft just realized that the previous agreement was kneecapping OpenAI so much that the investment was at risk, especially with serious competition now coming from Anthropic?

Re: Microsoft and OpenAI end their exclusive and revenue-sharing deal

#14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It also restricted Microsoft from "partnering" with anyone else. Wouldn't be surprised if we see another news like Amazon, Alphabet investing in Anthropic.

I don't think Microsoft ever had that restriction. They partnered with everyone already. https://blogs.microsoft.com/blog/2025/11/18/microsoft-nvidia... https://azure.microsoft.com/en-us/blog/deepseek-r1-is-now-av... https://ai.azure.com/

Yeah my bad, I was misremembering, it was about investing in others and pursuing its own "AGI" efforts. But even those conditions were updated over the last two years, hence the small investment in Anthropic last year.

Re: Microsoft and OpenAI end their exclusive and revenue-sharing deal

#15
post #10

Why is this being made public?

It’s an agreement between a public company and a highly scrutinized private company. Several of the provisions will change what happens in the marketplace, which everyone will see.

I imagine the thinking was that it’s better to just post it clearly than to have rumors and leaks and speculations that could hurt both companies (“should I risk using GCP for OpenAI models when it’s obviously against the MS / OpenAI agreement?”).

Re: Microsoft and OpenAI end their exclusive and revenue-sharing deal

#16

The original "AGI" agreement was always a bit suspect and open to wild interpretations. I think this is good for OpenAI. They're no longer stuck with just Microsoft. It was an advantage that Anthropic can work with anyone they like but OpenAI couldn't.

It also restricted Microsoft from "partnering" with anyone else. Wouldn't be surprised if we see another news like Amazon, Alphabet investing in Anthropic.

I think it was a lot less restrictive, as far as I understood, the only limit was Microsoft not being allowed to launch competing Microsoft-developed LLMs.

Re: Microsoft and OpenAI end their exclusive and revenue-sharing deal

#17
post #13

This agreement feels so friendly towards OpenAI that it's not obvious to me why Microsoft accepted this. I guess Microsoft just realized that the previous agreement was kneecapping OpenAI so much that the investment was at risk, especially with serious competition now coming from Anthropic?

> Microsoft will no longer pay a revenue share to OpenAI.

I feel this looks like a nice thing to have given they remain the primary cloud provider. If Azure improves it's overall quality then I don't see why this ends up as a money printing press as long as OpenAI brings good models?

Re: Microsoft and OpenAI end their exclusive and revenue-sharing deal

#18

Interesting side effect of this is that Google Cloud may now be the only hype scaler that can resell all 3 of the labs models? Maybe I'm misinterpreting this, but that would be a notable development, and I don't see why Google would allow Gemini to be resold through any of the other cloud providers. Might really increase the utility of those GCP credits.

Might not be good for Gemini long term if Anthropic and OpenAI can and will sell in every cloud provider they can find but businesses can only use Gemini via Google Cloud.
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