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Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

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Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#781
post #776

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Economics is circular. The baker buys shoes from the cobbler, and the cobbler buys food from the baker.

Yes but the baker doesn't just give the cobbler money to buy bread and take a share in the shoe shop in return.

I like this abstraction. If the baker says “I could sell 10x more if only I had shoes that allowed me to bake faster” then the cobbler says, “split the growth with me and I’ll craft you all the shoes you want.”

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#782
Alternative to archive.ph

Text-only, no CAPTCHA, no Javascript, no DDoS on blogger, no geo-blocking

   x=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-24/google-plans-to-invest-up-to-40-billion-in-anthropic
   echo url=$x|curl -K/dev/stdin \
   |egrep -o "(type\":\"paragraph)|(type\":\"text\",\"value\":\"[^\"]+)" \
   |sed '/Read More:/{N;d;};s/type\":\"paragraph/

/;s/.\{22\}//' \ |sed '1s/^//' > 1.htm firefox ./1.htm

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#783

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Economics is circular. The baker buys shoes from the cobbler, and the cobbler buys food from the baker.

Those are tangible items. Here, the baker is buying shoes from someone who says they're going to be a cobbler some day.

It’s no different with services. Making deals with potential cobblers seems like a fine market activity.

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#784

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Do you mean as in there will be no happy ending / reset and no another century of prosperity?

Imagine you're a typesetter and they just invented computerized printing.

These kinds of comments are so confusing to me, is the work you do day to day really so trivial that you can be wholesale replaced by an LLM?

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#785
post #776

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Economics is circular. The baker buys shoes from the cobbler, and the cobbler buys food from the baker.

Yes but the baker doesn't just give the cobbler money to buy bread and take a share in the shoe shop in return.

The claim was circularity is evidence the business activity is fake.

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#786
post #307

Context: a few weeks ago, Anthropic signed a deal to buy "multiple gigawatts of next-generation TPU capacity" from Google and Broadcom [1]. There have been several previous deals, too. Some people call this sort of thing a "circular deal", but perhaps a better way to think of it is as a very large-scale version of vendor financing? The simple version of vendor financing is when a vendor gives a retailer time to pay f…

To be honest, I think "vendor financing" is still a very risky premise. Vendors may be positioned to know how a customer is doing, but they're also incentivized to overestimate how well a customer is going to perform. GE Capital (edit: and GMCA) is a great example of how seemingly reasonable vendor financing can cause the lender serious problems.

Assuming you mean GMAC, their biggest losses were not so much a result of vendor financing as branching into the real estate market.

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#787

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Moonshot (Kimi) and Deepseek trained their model on chinese GPU, with little capital, and are raising now at around 20b$ valuations. Their latest models are arguably comparable to frontier ones. It is obvious that the valuations of the US companies are totally surreal now.

Apparently it's not obvious by evidence of the investment in them and stock value.

Because everybody is playing the same game?

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#788
post #744
post #696

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's usually drastically better than humans. Most humans can't code. If you are comparing it to specialists then you are already admitting they are on their way to replacing us.

It’s meant to either act as a complement and/or substitute for humans. So it should be measured against those who get paid. Otherwise what is the firm paying for..?

Not true at all. Most projects I wouldn't hire a UX expert but I am happy to get feedback on it from AI

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#789
post #425

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Plus the whole thing of first mover advantage being a myth, especially in the tech industry

> Plus the whole thing of first mover advantage being a myth, especially in the tech industry Source? That would be surprising!

https://hbr.org/2005/04/the-half-truth-of-first-mover-advant...

https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5654eb6ee4b0e19716ec5...

Showing how old I am with that reference

A more recent article https://www.productplan.com/learn/first-mover-advantage-fast...

I should say it’s “mostly” a myth, there are some fleeting competitive advantages to first mover but a lot of them don’t apply well to tech companies and there isn’t strong historical evidence supporting it.

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#790

Alternative to archive.ph Text-only, no CAPTCHA, no Javascript, no DDoS on blogger, no geo-blocking x=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-24/google-plans-to-invest-up-to-40-billion-in-anthropic echo url=$x|curl -K/dev/stdin \ |egrep -o "(type\":\"paragraph)|(type\":\"text\",\"value\":\"[^\"]+)" \ |sed '/Read More:/{N;d;};s/type\":\"paragraph/ /;s/.\{22\}//' \ |sed '1s/^/ /' > 1.htm firefox ./1.htm

Not quoting x anywhere ... ballsy
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