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SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

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Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#361

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Tesla is profitable, as a matter of public record. And SpaceX is, by all accounts, extremely profitable.

They had like $16B in revenue last year, half from Starlink. That’s just money in the door and the underwriters seem to think the business is worth $1.75T.

They are decades ahead of their nearest competition, in multiple verticals, and their barrier to entry is a literal gravity well.

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#362

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They had like $16B in revenue last year, half from Starlink. That’s just money in the door and the underwriters seem to think the business is worth $1.75T.

the ability to mine the moon or asteroid belt seems extremely lucrative, the logistics of transporting materials to earth costs less than shipping them across the ocean, an astounding level of value creation.

There is no other mode of transportation cheaper than shipping across the ocean.

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#363

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No one wants an IDE, anymore. They're building a better horse.

In my opinion, the IDE interface still has not been beaten if you are working on a serious codebase where you are reviewing each diff.

I agree with you and I personally use Cursor. Just don’t see how there’s a moat that makes it worth $60b.

A team could build an AI IDE in a week, this could be a race to the bottom

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#364
post #283

Earlier quoted context omitted.

SpaceX reuses its boosters 20+ times. Surely the depreciation is tiny when compared to the revenue of 60M+ per launch?

The entire space launch market is about $20B with multiple competitors in 2025. And by the most generous estimates it is going to be $80B by 2035. They can reuse the rockets as much as they like, the company isn’t worth $1.7T.

3x growth in ten years is the “most generous” estimate?

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#365

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They had like $16B in revenue last year, half from Starlink. That’s just money in the door and the underwriters seem to think the business is worth $1.75T.

If underwriters think it’s worth $1.7T with a $16B revenue (not profit), they’re doing the same thing as the credit agencies did in 2008 by giving underwater mortgage backed securities a AAA rating.

Do you have any evidence or analysis to back that up? How are those similar?

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#366
post #94

knee-jerk is that it's weird, but makes sense: * X will have a total of ~2GW of GPU sometime this year largely not doing much outside of 'grok is this true' * despite no longer being in vogue with consumer devs Cursor still has a lot of developer data that can assist in building a model * Cursor have decent enterprise relationships (while for xAI it is ~zero) and that's where the real revenue for llms + agents is * C…

I think it also represents a bet that in some sense Cursor's model capabilities are resource limited rather than talent limited. If that's true, $60B will end up being a bargain. If not true, well it's an expensive lesson but that's the nature of things.

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#367

What are we even doing here. I have no idea what this has to do with aerospace, but I know a bit about software and this does not look great. Cursor is obviously on a serious decline and has little to no moat in the area they are building in (IDE), which we kinda now know is maybe not even the right area (CLI). I feel like this is just a bad move?

IDE is a moat with people who can code.

How much is Cursor really beyond a VSCode fork? Like, do we really think no one else could figure that out?

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#368
post #283

Earlier quoted context omitted.

SpaceX reuses its boosters 20+ times. Surely the depreciation is tiny when compared to the revenue of 60M+ per launch?

They also have to replace 20%+ of their satellite network every year.

why is that ?

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#369

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Tesla’s profits and market share has been declining for the past few years and it’s basically an overpriced meme stock.

Their market share of EVs in the US went from 40.9% in Q3 2025 to 58.9% in Q4 2025. You may not have noticed because positive Musk related news doesn't seem to make headlines anymore.

[dead]

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#370
post #94

knee-jerk is that it's weird, but makes sense: * X will have a total of ~2GW of GPU sometime this year largely not doing much outside of 'grok is this true' * despite no longer being in vogue with consumer devs Cursor still has a lot of developer data that can assist in building a model * Cursor have decent enterprise relationships (while for xAI it is ~zero) and that's where the real revenue for llms + agents is * C…

> despite no longer being in vogue with consumer devs

Is it in vogue with enterprise devs?

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