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SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

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Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#291
post #204

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Paying $10B for the option is also crazy though. Paying $10B for the thing outright and not just an option would be absurdly high.

It reportedly has a $2B ARR, and a 5x multiplier doesn't seem insane to me, but who knows, honestly

2B ARR at what cost base?

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#292
post #94

knee-jerk is that it's weird, but makes sense: * X will have a total of ~2GW of GPU sometime this year largely not doing much outside of 'grok is this true' * despite no longer being in vogue with consumer devs Cursor still has a lot of developer data that can assist in building a model * Cursor have decent enterprise relationships (while for xAI it is ~zero) and that's where the real revenue for llms + agents is * C…

I think you're right. Other providers can offer coding subscriptions that use in-house models, and this sets the stage for a Grok coding plan that's built in to Cursor. $60 billion seems expensive, but it gives them a much better chance at competing in the market than if they started their own harness from scratch.

Absolutely no enterprise - I work in enterprise cloud consulting - absolutely no company would trust Grok with their IP compared to Anthropic or OpenAI with Musk’s reputation on how he runs his businesses.

Anthropic just tolerates the money losing developers who pay $20/$200 for subscriptions.

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#293
post #283

Earlier quoted context omitted.

SpaceX is _not_ profitable by most reasonable measurements of accounting. If you discount rocket depreciation costs and R&D, then yeah its profitable from starlink revenue.

SpaceX reuses its boosters 20+ times. Surely the depreciation is tiny when compared to the revenue of 60M+ per launch?

What about the R&D costs of blowing up vehicle after vehicle?

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#294
post #139

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Cursor very reasonably had a “no retention” checkbox available to everyone, including those on free plans.

I'm sure those work as well as the "don't collect my data" checkboxes too.

I don’t think this is the case. With “accidentally” collecting an individual’s data, the company’s risk is that somebody cares enough to sue them based on vague and poorly defined damages. With “accidentally” collecting source code, you’ve not only violated your contract with 98% of your enterprise customers (many of which have dedicated legal departments) providing a very real and obvious path to lawsuits, you’ve also gained a strong reputation as a vendor never to be trusted. My employer uses cursor, and I strongly suspect we would cut ties and blacklist them at the first sign of them inappropriately retaining data.

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#295
post #215

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We are better now that we learned from the first time.

Learned how to get the general public to directly put their money into it this time with the ETF shenanigans

Institutional investors (ex: pension funds) matter more for such mega IPOs than general public, and those probably like SPAC-like supercorps?

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#297

Every time Musk does anything these days, it further reveals the shell game he's playing with his companies. This is going to be an Enron type of story eventually. I truly wish I had a choice to pull my tax money out of this particular subsidy.

Tesla is profitable, as a matter of public record. And SpaceX is, by all accounts, extremely profitable.

They had like $16B in revenue last year, half from Starlink.

That’s just money in the door and the underwriters seem to think the business is worth $1.75T.

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#299

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Friendly reminder that SpaceX is going straight to the index—Elon agitated for it. The 401k of everybody in America is serving as a bailout fund for X and now cursor, and whatever other trash he hovers up

They are going straight to the Nasdaq. Most index investors are invested in the S&P 500

Nasdaq is an exchange. S&P 500 is an index.

S&P 500 includes companies from multiple exchanges. Like Nvidia, which lists on Nasdaq.

Re: SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B

#300

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Matt Levine writes a bit about this - the Elon Musk Mars Conglomerate. And really if you're investing into e.g. SpaceX you're not investing into SpaceX you're investing into the Elon Musk Mars Conglomerate. And most people seem to want that. Tesla's the odd one out: it's public but it's still in there, although Musk would probably prefer it to be private too.

> Elon Musk Mars Conglomerate That’s SpaceX’s version of Tesla’s self driving car pipe dream Edit - I use self-driving car and Autopilot interchangeably

Isn't Tesla FSD good enough and trending in the right direction to be called a "pipe dream"?
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