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The future of everything is lies, I guess: Work

aphyr.com

31–40 of 247 posts

Re: The future of everything is lies, I guess: Work

#35
post #24
post #2

Unavailable Due to the UK Online Safety Act

The author appears to be under the misaprehnsion that a personal blog with a comment section is impacted by the act.

Misapprehension? If so, they aren't the only one.

https://www.theregister.com/2025/02/06/uk_online_safety_act_...

Re: The future of everything is lies, I guess: Work

#37
The interesting question to me at the moment is whether we are still at the bottom of an exponential takeoff or nearing the top of a sigmoid curve. You can find evidence for both. LLMs probably can't get another 10 times better. But then, almost literally at any minute, someone could come up with a new architecture that can be 10 times better with the same or fewer resources. LLMs strike me as still leaving a lot on the table.

If we're nearing the top of a sigmoid curve and are given 10-ish years at least to adapt, we probably can. Advancements in applying the AI will continue but we'll also grow a clearer understanding of what current AI can't do.

If we're still at the bottom of the curve and it doesn't slow down, then we're looking at the singularity. Which I would remind people in its original, and generally better, formulation is simply an observation that there comes a point where you can't predict past it at all. ("Rapture of the Nerds" is a very particular possible instance of the unpredictable future, it is not the concept of the "singularity" itself.) Who knows what will happen.

Re: The future of everything is lies, I guess: Work

#38
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am, oddly enough, the chief executive officer of two (trivially small) tech companies.

cheers. I think you're doing a good job and ruffling some feathers here! Your content has been great. I highly recommend reading Marx. Your content has related Marxist topics like the 'Fetishism of Commodities' (Software as Witchcraft) and the Labor Theory of Value.

There's a copy of Das Kapital on the shelf behind me right now, though I don't count myself conversant enough to go super deep on class critique. Figured I'd point a few very vague fingers in that direction and let folks with more experience talk about it.

Re: The future of everything is lies, I guess: Work

#40

Thank you for this aphyr. My one ask is people seem to put “CEOs” on a pedestal any time things come up, like they’re an alien life form and oh no they’re going to do something terrible. There are good company executives and shitty ones. You should try to start a company and see if you can be one of the better ones.

> people seem to put “CEOs” on a pedestal any time things come up, like they’re an alien life form

Might I suggest a viewing of the 2025 film "Bugonia"?

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