131–140 of 166 posts
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A laundromat isn't a startup in that sense. There's no potential for exponential growth. A VC would never give you money to open a laundromat, you'd go to a bank and get a business loan for that.
Doordash for laundry.
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So you’re saying he’s majorly complicit in the ultracapitalist dystopia the US has turned into?
This is disingenuous at best. The man is an economist, not a crony operating at the federal level (one does not imply the other, and I know nothing of the man's background).
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Yeah… also, it’s just weird. Interfaces are important, they contain information and affordances, everything should not become a chatbot.
Interfaces will definitely evolve. Visual graphs and representations are useful but speaking to an agent will become mainstream as its faster than typing. Also the ability for agents to code on the fly will open up different interfaces. For instance you could say "show me the impact that our marketing campaign x over this time period" and out comes graphs that were coded. Drawing might even make a comeback for instan…
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GPT-4o is 23 months old. One year ago, the models were only slightly less competent than today. There were models writing entire apps 3 years ago. Competent function writing is basically a given on all models since GPT3. Much of the progress in the past year has been around the harnesses, MCPs, and skills. The models themselves are not getting better exponentially, if anything the progress is slowing down significant…
>One year ago, the models were only slightly less competent than today. That has not been my experience. This weekend I pointed Claude Code+Opus 4.6+effort=max at a PRD describing a Docusign-like software. The exact same document I gave to Claude Code+Opus 4.5+Ultrathink around 6 months ago. The touch-ups I needed after it completed implementation was around a tenth that it took with 4.5. It is a pretty startling dif…
They still do dumb shit from time-to-time, but it's getting rarer.
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Interfaces will definitely evolve. Visual graphs and representations are useful but speaking to an agent will become mainstream as its faster than typing. Also the ability for agents to code on the fly will open up different interfaces. For instance you could say "show me the impact that our marketing campaign x over this time period" and out comes graphs that were coded. Drawing might even make a comeback for instan…
You're describing some Hollywood version of SF, not the real world. Speaking is not faster than pressing a key or turning a knob (like try to operate a CAD or a DAW without keyboard and mouse). And for most report/infographic, you mostly need to design a few dashboard and almost never change them, because those are your core metrics that you need to monitor. And the ability to sketch even a simple wireframe relies on…
I dabble in music production and having a DAW to help me guide some parts of the process would be extremely useful to get me out of certain creative ruts.
So previously the bottleneck was production. I'd wager now the bottleneck is willingness to test your hypotheses. The willingness to experience failure as soon as possible. To test and iterate. As technology brings the cost of everything else to 0, psychological costs will predominate. Reality testing is ultimately unavoidable, of course, but I'd guess most people still lean away from that rather than into it. (Our w…
Add on the compounding effect that "QA" or "test" in someone's job description was viewed as a synonym for "less-highly compensated" over the past few decades, and you have an entire generation of mid career devs with poorly adapted instincts regarding what is valuable in the process of shipping working product. The bottleneck was never coding...