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Earlier quoted context omitted.
A laundromat isn't a startup in that sense. There's no potential for exponential growth. A VC would never give you money to open a laundromat, you'd go to a bank and get a business loan for that.
Doordash for laundry.
I almost feel like this is always true. Every startup is dead on arrival. Most of them fail. You’ve always needed to constantly learn and innovate to launch a successful business.
Startups are mostly all default dead. That's why they need VC money.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
I will take a lot more hand waving from the 70-something year-old Stanford professor who co-created far-up the chain management paradigms that run a good chunk of the economy. That context kinda changes things but what do I know.
So you’re saying he’s majorly complicit in the ultracapitalist dystopia the US has turned into?
The man is an economist, not a crony operating at the federal level (one does not imply the other, and I know nothing of the man's background).
> Founders who started pre-2025 typically have built a technical stack optimized for a world where software development was bespoke and expensive. Of all the things that AI has changed, tech stacks aren't one of them. The bots will gladly write Typescript, Java, Python, Rust, what have you. They could not give less of a shit.
What is he getting at? How does the code and infra stack differ at all between a company that is using AI, vs one that is not?
"You better be doing something in AI" applies to Startups - businesses that are expected to spend every penny as quickly as possible, to meet the metrics needed to raise the next (bigger) round of funding. It is also not the same as, "If you want to be a profitable company...". For that you need to somehow make more money than you are spending.
I've had this idea of 'business as reducing entropy' floating around in my head for awhile. It's a neat way to think about the value a business offers to buyers; a washing machine manufacturer is selling reduced time to reduced entropy (clean cloths), spreadsheet software is selling reduced time to understanding (information from tabulated data), and so on.
From that perspective, a lot of AI-driven development is failing.
We're still in the phase of 'how do we get order out of semi-average chaos?' for LLMs. For ML we're largely past that point.
I've been using this framing as a means to guide me towards 'what is actually useful, what might someone actually buy'. I don't have my own business at this point, but its still fun to think about off and on.
That said, if you believe universe exists, chances are not null that you are correct. But solipsism might actually be right.
In case of doubt, remember that your memory might be mere illusions.
> the bottleneck is no longer engineering, it’s ____ 90% of blog articles created in the last two years are probably dead on arrival
> The bottleneck is no longer engineering. It’s moving up the stack to judgment, customer insight for desired outcomes and distribution.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
So you’re saying he’s majorly complicit in the ultracapitalist dystopia the US has turned into?
This is disingenuous at best. The man is an economist, not a crony operating at the federal level (one does not imply the other, and I know nothing of the man's background).
I don't agree with the parent; I think capitalism is doing a lot of great things for us and will continue to, even with AI. But man I'm tired of these hot takes from people with limited practical experience.
> the bottleneck is no longer engineering, it’s ____ 90% of blog articles created in the last two years are probably dead on arrival
Made me wonder if there's a live-streaming equivalent for blogging... some platform that both ensures the reader knows the blogger is a person, and promotes a parasocial relationship. There's live-coding, so it's not totally a crazy idea.
Not sure how to make that a platform, as when i wrote i explicitly put everything directly into a book unedited, whereas for many people, the editing is probably at least half if not more of the time they spend writing.
Or we could just bring back Google Wave :-)
jimkleiber.com/project-35 if you’re curious.