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DRAM pricing is killing the hobbyist SBC market

jeffgeerling.com

31–40 of 592 posts

Re: DRAM pricing is killing the hobbyist SBC market

#32
post #10

DRAM pricing is killing the everything market. We just had a vendor uplift our quote 50% per unit for some machines because of a mix of memory + supply chain issues.

That’s strange, there aren’t wider market supply chain issues outside of DRAM. Maybe your vendor is just throwing excuses around.

This isn't true: NAND flash prices are up too, though not nearly as dramatically. But the war means that fuel and shipping prices are way up as well.

Re: DRAM pricing is killing the hobbyist SBC market

#33
post #14
post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That’s strange, there aren’t wider market supply chain issues outside of DRAM. Maybe your vendor is just throwing excuses around.

SSDs and HDDs are being squeezed as well.

We just had a vendor tell us none of the HDDs we were looking for were available unless we also committed to a full NAS offering.

Re: DRAM pricing is killing the hobbyist SBC market

#35

The title should say: "Collusion of large corporations promoting LLMs with RAM manufacturers is killing the hobbyist SBC market (and bankrupting anybody trying to get a PC or laptop)". Because we all know that DRAM prices have spiked since production is going to those infernal chatbot training data centers. Same as a lot of the electricity in some parts of the world, BTW.

> Collusion of large corporations promoting LLMs

> We all know that DRAM prices have spiked since production is going to those infernal chatbot training data centers

I know it's very fashionable here to talk about capitalism as some hand-washes-hand big corp organized scam, but if you put that ideology aside for a moment, you contradicted yourself here, I think.

I personally don't like conspiracy-theory-thinking. If I was a DRAM manufacturer and had to choose between servicing a single customer, who orders hundreds of millions worth of my product, or service a very large number of customers who order tiny amounts of the product a piece, then of course I would focus on the large client, because they are easier to service for the expected profit margin. I wouldn't even need to think about advertisement, sales, all that jazz. Looking at it from that perspective, it seems pretty logical to me that a spike in demand from datacenter operators would rise prices dramatically. I struggle to see room for collusion / conspiracy here.

Re: DRAM pricing is killing the hobbyist SBC market

#36
post #8
post #6

it's probably time to call those old retired programmers to ask them how to reduce software memory footprint or to teach that again

The art is not lost, just not funded. Feel free to fund the programmers for your own software projects.

It isnt lost but it also isnt a common skill set in programmers any more.

Most programmers are JS web devs writing client side code or server side CRUD.

I would guess < 10% of programmers writing code today get perf / valgrind out on the regular. I know I dont.

Re: DRAM pricing is killing the hobbyist SBC market

#37
Got my RPi 5 16GB quite a while ago for around $160 and already thought that was expensive... It’s still powerful enough for almost everything I throw at it, honestly a bit overkill in most scenarios.

With prices steadily going up, for me it's starting to feel more sensible to repurpose the RAM sticks I've collected from old PC builds / laptops and just throw together small amd64 boxes instead of buying more RPis.

Re: DRAM pricing is killing the hobbyist SBC market

#38
post #11
post #9

“Killing” is strong phrasing. Yes, a $250 mini PC I bought last year is now $350. Is this pricing bad? Yeah, compared to what it was. Is this the end of the world? Not really, and we’ve seen price spikes for all kinds of PC components in the past. It’s rarely permanent.

Not everyone earns tech bro salaries and can sustain a thousand cuts. Many hobbiests are scraping and saving money to acquire hardware. For some it very well msy be the end of their world.

[deleted]

Re: DRAM pricing is killing the hobbyist SBC market

#39

> The price increases bring the 16GB Pi 5 up to $299.99. Meanwhile, a refurbished corporate laptop with 16GB RAM and a 512GB SSD can be yours for $199 [1] I'm sure there will still be people who want the Pi 5 but at these prices, I ain't one of them. [1] https://www.ebay.com/itm/327079631563

Those will dry up soon enough. Corporate laptop refreshes will be drawn out as they try and cost save on the increased price.

You also better hope the aliexpress dont figure out a way to get the RAM out of those things because they will start harvesting it for sure if there is money to made.

Re: DRAM pricing is killing the hobbyist SBC market

#40
post #6

it's probably time to call those old retired programmers to ask them how to reduce software memory footprint or to teach that again

Just rewrite your biggest memory hogs in Rust, it routinely slashes RAM footprint and demand for RAM throughput. The effect is even bigger than the typical reduction in CPU use. You can even ask AI to help you with the task, it will use a lot less RAM for it than the rewrite will save down the road.
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