Meanwhile, the complexity of the average piece of software is drastically increasing. ... The stats suggest that devs are shipping more code with coding agents. The consequences may already be visible: analysis of vendor status pages [3] shows outages have steadily increased since 2022, suggesting software is becoming more brittle. We've already seen a large-scale AWS outage because of this. It could get much worse.…
I'm glad to see that the author of the article is putting an emphasis on simplicity here, especially given the nature of their business. Those that fully embrace the "code doesn't matter" approach are in for a world of hurt.
Long-term, I expect there will be more tooling and model advancements to help us in this regard - and there will certainly be a big economic incentive for that soon. But in the meantime it feels like a dam has been breached and we're just waiting for the real effects to become manifest.