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Artemis II is not safe to fly

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311–320 of 667 posts

Re: Artemis II is not safe to fly

#311

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> test the new heat shield which will replace the Artemis II design in an unmanned re-entry as well. NASA desperately needs more options. They shouldn't need to expend an SLS to launch an uncrewed Orion with a test heatshield on a trajectory equivalent to a moon return. They should be able to launch that on top of a Falcon Heavy. A Falcon Heavy can launch 63 tons to LEO and a fueled Orion plus service module weights…

I'd prefer if we just wrote off space-x and pretend they don't exist.

Because of your personal politics?

Re: Artemis II is not safe to fly

#312
post #292

I'm literally guest lecturing at a Harvard class tomorrow on systemic failures in decision making, using the Columbia and Challenger disasters as case studies, and changed my slides last night to include Artemis II because it could literally happen again. This broken safety culture has been around since the beginning of the Shuttle program. In 1980, Gregg Easterbrook published "Goodbye, Columbia" in The Washington Mo…

It is bound to happen again and again considering humans are so oblivious to safety.

Then explain the Apollo program, and the actual printed literature that came out of the program that summarized how they were successful.

Re: Artemis II is not safe to fly

#313
post #292

I'm literally guest lecturing at a Harvard class tomorrow on systemic failures in decision making, using the Columbia and Challenger disasters as case studies, and changed my slides last night to include Artemis II because it could literally happen again. This broken safety culture has been around since the beginning of the Shuttle program. In 1980, Gregg Easterbrook published "Goodbye, Columbia" in The Washington Mo…

The most frustrating part of the whole thing is that when you read Charles Camarda’s thoughts after his meeting with NASA in January, it could have been written in 1986 or in 2003.

https://docs.google.com/document/u/1/d/1ddi792xdfNXcBwF8qpDU...

It’s pretty clear at this point that the shuttle was already broken at design. But seeing the same powder keg of safety/budget/immovable time constraints applied to a totally different platform decades in the future feels like sitting through a bad movie for the third time.

Re: Artemis II is not safe to fly

#314

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'd prefer if we just wrote off space-x and pretend they don't exist.

SpaceX is the only major operator of spaceflights in the US: more than 95% of all satellites launched are launched by SpaceX, not just in the US, but worldwide .

That's an eye catching stat. What is the impact of starlink satellites on the number, ie what if you drop them from both numerator and denominator?

Re: Artemis II is not safe to fly

#315

Hypothetical to wrap my head around scope: Say we had a spacecraft that was 100% capable of launching from Earth, orbiting the moon, and landing back on Earth, but it also had the docking equipment to be compatible with ISS. Could I decide, while orbiting the moon, that I'd rather dock with the ISS instead? Is that at all feasible or is it one of those, "we're not lined up for any of this. It's basically impossible."…

You’d need a load of additional propellant to insert yourself into the same orbit as the ISS on your return, which would have an exponential effect on the amount of propellant needed in the first place to get all this lot out to the moon. It would be a different vehicle.

[dead]

Re: Artemis II is not safe to fly

#316
post #267
post #184

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Now do the opportunity cost of AI model virtue signalling to investors for several years

As long as they mostly spend VC money, who am I to judge? It's no worse than rich people buying yachts. Just don't spend tax payer money.

But they dodge taxes, so they're effectively spending it anyway.

Re: Artemis II is not safe to fly

#317
post #268

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm sure the other astronauts are really looking forward to fly with a person showing signs of suicidal ideation.

Suicide ideation and someone willing to take massive risks for something awesome are very different things

I'm sure the other astronauts are really looking forward to fly with a person showing signs of tolerating massive risks.

Re: Artemis II is not safe to fly

#318

I am very not brave but I'd volunteer. The trip is far more awesome than anything I have planned for the rest of my life. And if the shield fails on reentry it would only hurt for a few seconds. So if the crew and the backups and their backups read this and have second thoughts, ping me.

Dulce et decorum est pro patria mori

I too played rome total war!

Re: Artemis II is not safe to fly

#319

Earlier quoted context omitted.

James May of Top Gear has flown with a U2 spy plane once [0][1]. When they reached to the edge of space, May said "If everybody could do that once, it would completely change the face of global politics, religion, education, everything". I can't agree more. Another thing I believe needs to be watched periodically is Pale Blue Dot [2]. [0]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-COlil4tos [1]: https://www.youtube.com/watch…

I think you overestimate the effect that would have on the kind of people that most need that sort of humility. Look at what happened with William Shatner and Jeff Bezos when they came back from space. Shatner started to say something about what an impactful experience it was, but Bezos cut him off and was like “Woo! Partay!” and switched his attention to a magnum of champagne.

Jeff went up two flights earlier, in July 2021 on NS-16. Shatner was on NS-18 in October.

I don't know if it's a thing that wears off, if Bezos was just in business-mode the entire time, or just didn't want someone monologuing right after getting back.

Re: Artemis II is not safe to fly

#320
post #268

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Suicide ideation and someone willing to take massive risks for something awesome are very different things

I'm sure the other astronauts are really looking forward to fly with a person showing signs of tolerating massive risks.

Each and every one of them is fully aware that it’s a massive risk and has made their peace with that. You’re getting strapped to a giant rocket. It’s inherently dangerous
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