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Google's 200M-parameter time-series foundation model with 16k context

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Re: Google's 200M-parameter time-series foundation model with 16k context

#4
I somehow find the concept of a general time series model strange. How can the same model predict egg prices in Italy, and global inflation in a reliable way?

And how would you even use this model, given that there are no explanations that help you trust where the prediction comes from…

Re: Google's 200M-parameter time-series foundation model with 16k context

#5

Here is the link to the blogpost, that actually describe what this is: https://github.com/google-research/timesfm?tab=readme-ov-fil...

That takes me to the same content as the submission, a GitHub repo (Chrome on iOS)

Re: Google's 200M-parameter time-series foundation model with 16k context

#6

I somehow find the concept of a general time series model strange. How can the same model predict egg prices in Italy, and global inflation in a reliable way? And how would you even use this model, given that there are no explanations that help you trust where the prediction comes from…

What is not generally understood is that these models don’t predict egg prices or inflation in Italy.

They decompose a time series into trends, seasonality and residuals. That’s what they are actually modelling.

They cannot predict wars in the Middle East influencing inflation unless there is a seasonal pattern(s).

Re: Google's 200M-parameter time-series foundation model with 16k context

#7

Here is the link to the blogpost, that actually describe what this is: https://github.com/google-research/timesfm?tab=readme-ov-fil...

I think you meant to link this page: https://research.google/blog/a-decoder-only-foundation-model...

Re: Google's 200M-parameter time-series foundation model with 16k context

#8

Here is the link to the blogpost, that actually describe what this is: https://github.com/google-research/timesfm?tab=readme-ov-fil...

That takes me to the same content as the submission, a GitHub repo (Chrome on iOS)

Probably the better link: https://research.google/blog/a-decoder-only-foundation-model...

Re: Google's 200M-parameter time-series foundation model with 16k context

#9

Here is the link to the blogpost, that actually describe what this is: https://github.com/google-research/timesfm?tab=readme-ov-fil...

That takes me to the same content as the submission, a GitHub repo (Chrome on iOS)

I suppose they tried to link this: https://research.google/blog/a-decoder-only-foundation-model...

Re: Google's 200M-parameter time-series foundation model with 16k context

#10
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That takes me to the same content as the submission, a GitHub repo (Chrome on iOS)

Probably the better link: https://research.google/blog/a-decoder-only-foundation-model...

And https://arxiv.org/pdf/2310.10688 if you want the full paper.
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