Live data from Hacker News

You have a 1 in 20 chance of being chosen by YC. Pretty good odds!

news.ycombinator.com

1–10 of 65 posts

You have a 1 in 20 chance of being chosen by YC. Pretty good odds!

#1
If we assume there will be 500 applications and that YC will be accepting 25 of them then that's a 1 in 20 chance.

Throw in the fact some applications, maybe as many as half, are broken (thirteen year old founders, clones of existing ideas, etc) and you've got a great shot.

Anyone that still has cold feet, get in there and apply!

Re: You have a 1 in 20 chance of being chosen by YC. Pretty good odds!

#4
Where'd you get the "accepting 25" number? Just curious. It seemed like 19 was a bit overwhelming for them this time. But since the CA office is bigger, and there are more former founders out here that would be able to relieve some of the advisory role pressure, they might be willing to bump the number up again, assuming enough of the applications are good.

Re: You have a 1 in 20 chance of being chosen by YC. Pretty good odds!

#5
post #2

Thanks for your advice; I just submitted 20 applications. :) On a serious note, can one apply as a single hacker who doesn't care about which project he takes on?

I'm certain that's a bad idea. They were overwhelmed by the 400+ apps they got last time...I don't think they'd take kindly to someone gaming the system and forcing them to read an extra 20 apps (I'm pretty sure the round file would be the only one seeing all of your applications).

Re: You have a 1 in 20 chance of being chosen by YC. Pretty good odds!

#6
post #5
post #2

Thanks for your advice; I just submitted 20 applications. :) On a serious note, can one apply as a single hacker who doesn't care about which project he takes on?

I'm certain that's a bad idea. They were overwhelmed by the 400+ apps they got last time...I don't think they'd take kindly to someone gaming the system and forcing them to read an extra 20 apps (I'm pretty sure the round file would be the only one seeing all of your applications).

I went back and made it more obvious I was kidding. But is there any hacker serious about being an entrepreneur and working on a project during the Winter session and beyond?

Re: You have a 1 in 20 chance of being chosen by YC. Pretty good odds!

#7
Why wait for someone else's approval? Don't leave your fate up to someone else's whim.

And don't forget there are many, many other investors.

[Edit: Also don't forget you can set up Google ads on your own; or have actual paying customers. You may not need any investment at all.]

Re: You have a 1 in 20 chance of being chosen by YC. Pretty good odds!

#9
post #2

Thanks for your advice; I just submitted 20 applications. :) On a serious note, can one apply as a single hacker who doesn't care about which project he takes on?

> Can we apply as single hackers who don't care about which project we take on?

Not to be YC specific, but just in general, who would want to invest in someone who doesn't care?

Re: You have a 1 in 20 chance of being chosen by YC. Pretty good odds!

#10
post #4

Where'd you get the "accepting 25" number? Just curious. It seemed like 19 was a bit overwhelming for them this time. But since the CA office is bigger, and there are more former founders out here that would be able to relieve some of the advisory role pressure, they might be willing to bump the number up again, assuming enough of the applications are good.

http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47372

Certainly not hard evidence but the limiting factor seems to be good applications, not how many they're able to accept. That's a great sign.

Post reply on HN