How the AI Bubble Bursts
martinvol.pe
How the AI Bubble Bursts
1–10 of 557 posts
Re: How the AI Bubble Bursts
#2[deleted]
Re: How the AI Bubble Bursts
#3I could see OpenAI hitting financial issues which triggers some media induced panic and for people to claim the AI bubble has popped.
However, the core utility of the best AI (read: Anthropic's ATM, by miles), will still exist and be leveraged by those who have learned to use it well.
I could also see the exponentially declining power requirements offsetting the exponential-but-slower rate of AI compute demand, which then renders a lot of unused capacity in these massive data centers.
I think of it like the old mainframes in the 70s which would take an entire city block to run, and now we have the equivalent of millions, if not billions of them in our pockets.
Re: How the AI Bubble Bursts
#4> How this affects you?
> checks list ...
nope, nothing will either directly or indirectly affect me. Let it happen sooner, rather than later, and unleash the mobs at the tech bros that set the world on course to make everybody's life more miserable. We'll still be here to get the scrapped RAM and GPUs to train and infere local models thank you very much.
Re: How the AI Bubble Bursts
#5HN is no longer a reliable place for the truth. Quite frankly, unless you are utterly self educated, you are terribly vulnerable to this place.
At this rate, I’d almost prefer to talk on a private mailing list with vetted resumes.
Re: How the AI Bubble Bursts
#6I feel that even if the bubble bursts hardware prices will still take years to normalize. So no clear benefit for the average consumer here.
Re: How the AI Bubble Bursts
#7Another possibility not really addressed here --- local LLMs.
AI on hardware you own and control --- instead of a metered service provider. In other words, a repeat of the "personal computing" revolution but this time focused on AI.
TurboQuant could be a key step in this direction.
Re: How the AI Bubble Bursts
#8.... so what? the technology exists, the models exist. Even when the bubble bursts things will not go to the state "before AI". Even if model development would stop today (not the worst thing to happen) it would still be the most impactful invention since the printing press
Re: How the AI Bubble Bursts
#9HN is no longer a reliable place for the truth. Quite frankly, unless you are utterly self educated, you are terribly vulnerable to this place. At this rate, I’d almost prefer to talk on a private mailing list with vetted resumes.
Why?
Re: How the AI Bubble Bursts
#10When will this concern farm end? Internet is ant-milling harder than a model gone psychotic on synthetic data. Call me when it's over.
Back to the mines. The Vulkan only writes itself when prompted with well-conditioned problem statements.