Opinionated Polymarket Signals
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Opinionated Polymarket Signals
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Re: Opinionated Polymarket Signals
#2I like the idea, though I think the description could be clearer of what it does.
From what I gather, it enables profiting from the arbitrage between real markets and polymarket?
Re: Opinionated Polymarket Signals
#3I like the idea, though I think the description could be clearer of what it does. From what I gather, it enables profiting from the arbitrage between real markets and polymarket?
Correct. The tool is a work in progress and I am focusing on the signal algorithm at the moment. The idea is that the probability as traded on PM doesn't accurately represent statistical probability. I have added many of my observations to it to basically capture opportunities in the 3 hours before resolution, for probabilities between 70 and 95% that show potential higher than what the market is trading.