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What does that mean? By what metric do you measure "AGI", whatever that means? Industry definitions are incredibly vague, perhaps intentionally so, with no benchmarks to define how a model, harness, or other technology might achieve "AGI". They have no intelligence, and can't even reason that you need to take your car to the car wash to have it washed[0]. [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47031580
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Even that you mentioned NFTs in comparison hurts my mind
I mean, it's an apt comparison, given that the Venn diagram between the pro-NFT hucksters and the pro-AI crowd is a circle. When you listen to people who were so publicly and embarrassingly wrong about the future try to sell you on their next hustle, skepticism is the correct posture.
Now it's adding "Basically Zero" to US Economic Growth
https://gizmodo.com/wall-street-apparently-believes-the-futu... This one's from bloomberg
Does Gizmodo just repeat random stuff they hear like some kind of stochastic click generating parrot? Low GDP this quarter is due to low government spendint. Hardware is still extremely cheap and isn't getting better much faster. America has taken a major lead by buying out all the fabtime. If I ran Taiwan I would have nationalized TSMC, horded all the chips and allied with Japan and SK for a joint AI and defense pact.
The key innovation of the LLM beyond anything technical is that, across the board, government can now see the potential of ML and "AGI". The current American left (and Europeans leaders) is absolutely hopeless, while they make "not one drop for data signs" we are quickly moving towards a future where your job is creating data mostly by doing whatever you want. 10 years ago data was worth 1/9th it's current worth, in 10 years it will be at least 9x it's current worth today. 22+% year on year for the last 14 years 50+% during lockdown. It's strangely hard for people to imagine that work becomes easier over time even though it's always been true. There is a huge difference between letting people capture the value of their labor and preventing that value from being created in the first place.
I completely agree. If AI can't do 100% of a job then you can't remove the job. And most jobs that can be automated already has been automated using traditional software.
If AI does 90% of the work, you can either do more work with your current staff, or fire a portion and have them do the same amount of work.
This article seems to have "basically zero" content. Today you have to be blind to not see the change that is coming. World has its own (massive) inertia, burocracy present in businesses accounting for a big part in it. AI itself is moving fast but not at infinite speeds. We start to have good enough tooling but it's not yet available to everyone and it still hangs on too many hacks that will need to crystalize. Peop…
> As people say - something changed around Dec/Jan Yes, Anthropic decided they wanted to IPO and got the hype machine in full swing. Don’t get me wrong LLMs are here to stay but how we’re currently using them is likely going to change a lot. Stuff like this: > in general everybody has to do bottom up cleanup and documentation of all their projects, setup skills and whatnot and that's assuming their corp is ok with it…
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I've literally not met one person in tech who thinks LLMs will become sentient or conscious. But I always see people online claiming that there are lots of people who believe that. Where are they? Are we sure that's not a misunderstanding of the terminology? Artificial diamonds, such as cubic zirconia, are not diamonds, and nobody thinks they are. 'Artificial' means it's not the real thing. When will conscious, actua…
What? Nobody says cubic zirconia is an artificial diamond, it’s just a different shiny crystal. We have loads of actual artificial diamonds, so cheap you can get a cutting disc made fr9m them for $10 at home depot. And nobody working in the space either as ML/AI practitioners, or as philosophers, or as cognitive scientists, even thinks we know what consciousness is, or what is required to create it. So there would be…