“We have no cure. I don’t want to know.” If astronomers announced that a large asteroid might strike Earth in twenty years, and that we currently had no way to deflect it, nobody would respond by saying, “Come back when you already have the rocket.” We would immediately build better telescopes to track it precisely, refine its trajectory models, and begin developing propulsion systems capable of interception. You do…
This analogy has a rather fatal flaw, which is that we already know people who've gotten Alzheimer's , and we also know for a fact people will continue to fall victim to it, at a pretty predictable rate. i.e. the detection has already happened ! Anyone who was waiting for a potential victim to appear before researching the cure already has all the reasons they need to research it. Detecting whom exactly the next vict…
Late-stage Alzheimers', if not every stage, is very likely going to involve microscopic-scale physical damage to brain tissue that is functionally irreversible.
Blowing up an asteroid after you can see it in the sky with your naked eye will not save you.
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It is also possible that what we call "Alzheimers" is actually biochemically five different disorders with distinct etiologies that have the same endpoint, and that it turns out we can cure two of them. Differentiating conditions for a biomedical catch-all category would be essential; "How accurate you can get the tests" is inseparable from this process of definition.