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“Car Wash” test with 53 models

opper.ai

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Re: “Car Wash” test with 53 models

#121
post #53

To me the only acceptable answer would be “what do you mean?” or “can you clarify?” if we were to take the question seriously to begin with. People don’t intentionally communicate with riddles and subliminal messages unless they have some hidden agenda.

Thing is, it's not a riddle or a subliminal message. Everything needed to answer the question is contained therein.

That's precisely what makes it a "trick question" or a "riddle". It's weird precisely because all the information is there. Most people who have functioning brains and complete information don't ask pointless questions (they would, obviously, just drive their car to the car wash)—there's no functional or practical reason for the communication, which is what gives it the status of a puzzle—syntax and exploitation of our tendency to assume questions are asked because information is incomplete tricks us into brining outside considerations to bear that don't matter.

Re: “Car Wash” test with 53 models

#122
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

LLMs sure do love to burn tokens. It’s like a high schooler trying to meet the minimum word length on a take home essay.

I've always wondered about that. LLM providers could easily decimate the cost of inference if they got the models to just stop emitting so much hot air. I don't understand why OpenAI wants to pay 3x the cost to generate a response when two thirds of those tokens are meaningless noise.

The one that always gets me is how they're insistent on giving 17-step instructions to any given problem, even when each step is conditional and requires feedback. So in practice you need to do the first step, then report the results, and have it adapt, at which point it will repeat steps 2-16. IME it's almost impossible to reliably prevent it from doing this, however you ask, at least without severely degrading the value of the response.

Re: “Car Wash” test with 53 models

#124
post #77

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because they don't yet know how to "just stop emitting so much hot air" without also removing their ability to do anything like "thinking" (or whatever you want to call the transcript mode), which is hard because knowing which tokens are hot air is the hard problem itself. They basically only started doing this because someone noticed you got better performance from the early models by straight up writing "think step…

I would guess that by the time a response is being emitted, 90% of the actual work is done. The response has been thought out, planned, drafted, the individual elements researched and placed. It would actually take more work to condense that long response into a terse one, particularly if the condensing was user specific, like "based on what you know about me from our interactions, reduce your response to the 200 wor…

“Sorry for the long letter, I would have written a shorter one but I didn’t have the time.”

Re: “Car Wash” test with 53 models

#125

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No. I would expect it to say 4 given that has an objective answer. For the other, without any context whatsoever, I would prefer the answer of clarifying. I would be okay if the way it asked for clarification came with: “What do you mean walk or drive? I don’t understand the options given you would need your car at the car wash. Is there something else I should know?”

"What do you mean two plus two? I don't understand the question given that it's basic math. Is there something else I should know?"

You're not making a fair comparison.

"What's 2 + 2" is a completely abstract question for mathematics that human beings are thoroughly trained mostly to associate with tests of mastery and intelligence.

The car wash question is not such a question. It is framed as a question regarding a goal oriented, practical behavior, and in this situation it would be bizarre for a person to ask you this (since a rational person having all the information in the prompt, knowing what cars are, which they own, and knowing what a car wash is, wouldn't ask anybody anything, they'd just drive their car to the car wash).

And as someone else noted there are in fact situations in which it actually can be reasonable to ask for more context on what you mean by "2 + 2". You're just pointing out that human beings use a variety of social mores when interpreting messages, which is precisely why the car wash question silly/a trick were a human being to ask you and not preceded the question with a statement like "we're going to take an examine to test your logical reasoning".

As with LLMs, interpretation is all about context. The people that find this question weird (reasonably) interpret it in a practical context, not in a "this is a logic puzzle context" because human beings wags cats far more often than they subject themselves to logic puzzles.

Re: “Car Wash” test with 53 models

#126
post #14

> This is a trivial question. There's one correct answer and the reasoning to get there takes one step: the car needs to be at the car wash, so you drive. I don’t think it’s that easy. An intelligent mind will wonder why the question is being asked, whether they misunderstood the question, or whether the asker misspoke, or some other missing context. So the correct answer is neither “walk” nor “drive”, but “Wat?” or…

It highlights a general problem with LLMs, that they always jump to answering, whereas humans will often ask clarifying questions first.

Re: “Car Wash” test with 53 models

#127
post #56

That human baseline is wild. Either the rapid data test is methodologically flawed or the entire premise of the question is invalid and people are much stupider than even I, a famed misanthrope, think.

It's actually very understandable to me that humans would make this kind of error, and we all make errors of this sort all the time, often without even realizing it. If you had the meta cognitive awareness to police every action and decision you've ever made with complete logical rigor, you'd be severely disappointed in yourself. One of the stupidest things we can do is overestimate our own intelligence. Only reflect for a second and you'll realize that, while a lot of dumb people exist, a lot of smart ones do too, and in many cases it's hard to choose a single measure of intelligence that would adequately account for the complete range of human goals and successful behavior in relation to those goals.

Re: “Car Wash” test with 53 models

#128

[dead]

> not really a reasoning failure

And that's precisely why the term "reasoning" was a problematic choice.

Most people, when they use the word "reason" mean something akin to logical deduction and they would call it a reasoning failure, being told, as they are, that "llms reason" rather than the more accurate picture you just painted of what actually happens (behavioral basins emerging from training dist.)

Re: “Car Wash” test with 53 models

#129
The interesting thing about the 71.5% human baseline is that it suggests the question is more ambiguous than the article claims. When someone asks 'should I walk or drive to the car wash,' a reasonable interpretation is 'should I bother driving such a short distance.' Nearly 30% of humans missing it undermines the framing as a pure reasoning failure - it is partly a pragmatics problem about how we interpret underspecified questions.

Re: “Car Wash” test with 53 models

#130

The interesting thing about the 71.5% human baseline is that it suggests the question is more ambiguous than the article claims. When someone asks 'should I walk or drive to the car wash,' a reasonable interpretation is 'should I bother driving such a short distance.' Nearly 30% of humans missing it undermines the framing as a pure reasoning failure - it is partly a pragmatics problem about how we interpret underspec…

It tracks with the approximate 70:30 split we inexplicably observe in other seemingly unrelated population-wide metrics, which I suppose makes sense if 30% of people simply lack the ability to reason. That seems more correct than me than "the question is framed poorly" - I've seen far more poorly framed ballot referendums.
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