181–190 of 313 posts
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I've been writing code for 20 years. AI has completely changed my life and the way I write code and run my business. Nothing is the same anymore, and I feel I will be saying that again by the end of 2026. My productive output as a programmer in software and business have expanded 3x *compounding monthly*.
>My productive output as a programmer in software and business have expanded 3x compounding monthly . In what units?
Until I can get a robot wife maid im not worried about or even confident I will ever see actual AGI. People have been predicting it for as long as fusion power and while progress has been made, we might still be like Romans dreaming of flight.
Dear sir, what does embodiment actually have to do with agi? Not much different than saying someone that is paralyzed is not intelligence. More so, our recent advances in AI have massively accelerated robotics evolution. They are becoming smarter, faster, and more capable at an ever increasing rate.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
I've been writing code for 20 years. AI has completely changed my life and the way I write code and run my business. Nothing is the same anymore, and I feel I will be saying that again by the end of 2026. My productive output as a programmer in software and business have expanded 3x *compounding monthly*.
>My productive output as a programmer in software and business have expanded 3x compounding monthly . In what units?
How will we know if its AGI/Not AGI? (I don't think a simple app is gonna cut it here haha) What is the benchmark now that the Turing test has been blown out of the water?
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Cultural changes take time. It took decades for the internet to move from nerdy curiosity to an essential part of everyone's life. The writing is on the wall. Even if there's no new advances in technology, the current state is upending jobs, education, media, etc
I really think corporations are overplaying their hand if they think they can transform society once again in the next 10 years. Rapid de industrialization followed by the internet and social media almost broke our society. Also, I don’t think people necessarily realize how close we were to the cliff in 2007. I think another transformation now would rip society apart rather than take us to the great beyond.
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Supranormal GDP growth is my bar. When its actually able to get around bottlenecks and produce value on a societal level
An agent need not have wants, so why would it try to increase its efficiency to obtain things?
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That tech debt will be cleaned up with a model in 2 years. Not that human don't make tech debt.
What that model is going to do in 2 years is replace tech debt with more complicated tech debt.
But I don't know that I accept the core assertion. If the engineer is screening the output and using the LLM to generate tests, chances are pretty good it's not going to be worse than human-generated tech debt. If there's more accumulated, it's because there's more output in general.