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I'm not worried about AI job loss

davidoks.blog

491–500 of 582 posts

Re: I'm not worried about AI job loss

#491
post #256

Earlier quoted context omitted.

this works fine for like 2-3 small instruction sets. once you start getting to scale of a real enterprise system, the AI falls down and can't handle that amount of context. It will start ignoring critical pieces or not remember them. And without constant review AI will start priotizing things that are not your business priority. I don't agree they have solved this problem, at all, or really in any way that's actually…

What I'm saying is, don't get to thinking that the memory problem is some kind of insurmountable, permanent barrier that's going to keep us safe. It's already being addressed, maybe crudely at first, but the situation is already much better than it was - I no longer have to bring the model up to speed completely every time I start a new session. Part of this is much larger context windows (1M tokens now). New archite…

Context windows are a natural improvement, but new architectures are completely speculative and it’s unclear we can make any sort of predictable progress with new, better architectures. Most progress has been made on essentially the same architecture paradigms, although we did move from dense models to MoE at some point.

Re: I'm not worried about AI job loss

#493
post #473

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>AI only exists because the military needs are propping it up AI already serves as a surveillance tool and is being used by Palantir.

AI already serves as a surveillance tool and is being used by Palantir. Agreed but the actual funding is primarily for military use. Palantir would not be able to fund all these data-centers by themselves. They are secondary beneficiaries.

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Re: I'm not worried about AI job loss

#495

Bottlenecks. Yes. Company structures these days are not compatible with efficient use of these new AI models. Software engineers work on Jira tickets, created by product managers and several layers of middle managers. But the power of recent models is not in working on cogs, their true power is in working on the entire mechanism. When talking about a piece of software that a company produces, I'll use the analogy of…

That's what I think will happen with a lot of SaaS and software platforms. They'll become the Sears to the future Amazon's being built.

Re: I'm not worried about AI job loss

#496

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Throughout history, big advances have come from humans having more "idle time", so we should be aiming for the population to be less busy as they can then hopefully focus on pursuing the arts or sciences.

Big advances have also come from some of the most violent, destructive wars the planet has seen. I agree with you on principle, but I don't think it's straightforward as your point states.

Well, wars are going to happen anyway. If we abolish all idle time, it's pretty much the same as getting rid of artists, poets, philosophers, writers etc.

Re: I'm not worried about AI job loss

#497

I’m not worried about a world without people. I’m more worried that even if these tools do a bad job people will be too addicted to the convenience to give them up. Example: recruiters locked into an AI arms race with applicants. The application summaries might be biased and contain hallucinations. The resumes are often copied wholesale from some chat bot or other. Nobody wins, the market continues to get worse, but…

But why would the market get worse? Those recruiters aren’t just in an arms race with applicants, they’re also in an arms race with each other, and there’s an incentive to improve their tools too.

I don’t know if you’re in the job market right now but there are highly skilled and qualified people who have been looking for work for months.

I don’t know if you can tell what’s “better,” with these tools.

Re: I'm not worried about AI job loss

#499
denial, anger, bargaining, depression, and acceptance

Dear software programmers: 90% of your jobs are going away soon. Most of you are on the first step. Those of you who progress through these step the fastest will be most prepared for what is about to come.

Re: I'm not worried about AI job loss

#500

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I bet we're about to see a lot of 10-person $100M+ ARR companies emerge. That's a scale where teams can be tight and excel.

when. people have been saying that since 2022. when and how. hmm?? show your work. or is this just more slype being spewed...

In 2014, Facebook acquired WhatsApp for $19B and they had 55 employees
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