391–400 of 722 posts
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I agree. I think the emergence of LLMs have shown that AGI really has no teeth. I think for decades the Turing test was viewed as the gold standard, but it's clear that there doesn't appear to be any good metric.
The turing test was passed in the 80s, somehow it has remained relevant in pop culture despite the fact that it's not a particularly difficult technical achievement
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Most ridiculous valuation in the history of markets. Cant wait to watch these compsnies crash snd burn when people give up on the slot machine.
As usual don't take financial advice from HN folks!
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Even before this, Gemini 3 has always felt unbelievably 'general' for me. It can beat Balatro (ante 8) with text description of the game alone[0]. Yeah, it's not an extremely difficult goal for humans, but considering: 1. It's an LLM, not something trained to play Balatro specifically 2. Most (probably >99.9%) players can't do that at the first attempt 3. I don't think there are many people who posted their Balatro p…
But... there's Deepseek v3.2 in your link (rank 7)
Edit: in my original comment I said it wrong. I meant to say Deepseek can't beat Balatro at all, not can't play. Sorry
It’s incredible how fast these models are getting better. I thought for sure a wall would be hit, but these numbers smashes previous benchmarks. Anyone have any idea what the big unlock that people are finding now?
Companies are optimizing for all the big benchmarks. This is why there is so little correlation between benchmark performance and real world performance now.
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But 80% sounds far from good enough, that's 20% error rate, unusable in autonomous tasks. Why stop at 80%? If we aim for AGI, it should 100% any benchmark we give.
Are humans 100%?
But the idea of automation is to make a lot fewer mistakes than a human, not just to do things faster and worse.
So what happens if the AI companies can't make money? I see more and more advances and breakthrough but they are taking in debt and no revenue in sight. I seem to understand debt is very bad here since they could just sell more shares, but aren't (either valuation is stretched or no buyers). Just a recession? Something else? Aren't they very very big to fall? Edit0: Revenue isn't the right word, profit is more correc…
which companies don't have revenue? anthropic is at a run rate of 14 billion (up from 9B in December, which was up from 4B in July). Did you mean profit? They expect to be cash flow positive in 2028.
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Its really weird how you all are begging to be replaced by llms, you think if agentic workflows get good enough you're going to keep your job? Or not have your salary reduced by 50%? If Agents get good enough it's not going to build some profitable startup for you (or whatever people think they're doing with the llm slot machines) because that implies that anyone else with access to that agent can just copy you, its…
I’m someone who’d like to deploy a lot more workers than I want to manage. Put another way, I’m on the capital side of the conversation. The good news for labor that has experience and creativity is that it just started costing 1/100,000 what it used to to get on that side of the equation.
This is truly the dumbest statement I've ever seen on this site for too many reasons to list.
You people sound like NFT people in 2021 telling people that they're creating and redefining art.
Oh look peter@capital6.com is a "web3" guy. Its all the same grifters from the NFT days behaving the same way.
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Its really weird how you all are begging to be replaced by llms, you think if agentic workflows get good enough you're going to keep your job? Or not have your salary reduced by 50%? If Agents get good enough it's not going to build some profitable startup for you (or whatever people think they're doing with the llm slot machines) because that implies that anyone else with access to that agent can just copy you, its…
I think a lot of people assume they will become highly paid Agent orchestrators or some such. I don't think anyone really knows where things are heading.
So what happens if the AI companies can't make money? I see more and more advances and breakthrough but they are taking in debt and no revenue in sight. I seem to understand debt is very bad here since they could just sell more shares, but aren't (either valuation is stretched or no buyers). Just a recession? Something else? Aren't they very very big to fall? Edit0: Revenue isn't the right word, profit is more correc…
AI will kill SaaS moats and thus revenue. Anyone can build new SaaS quickly. Lots of competition will lead to marginal profits. AI will kill advertising. Whatever sits at the top "pane of glass" will be able to filter ads out. Personal agents and bots will filter ads out. AI will kill social media. The internet will fill with spam. AI models will become commodity. Unless singularity, no frontier model will stay in th…
Advertising, how will they kill ads any better than the current cat and mouse games with ad blockers?
Social Media, how will they kill social media? Probably 80% of the LinkedIn posts are touched by AI (lots of people spend time crafting them, so even if AI doesn't write the whole thing you know they ran the long ones through one) but I'm still reading (ok maybe skimming) the posts.