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Gemini 3 Deep Think

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Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#171
post #53

Arc-AGI-2: 84.6% (vs 68.8% for Opus 4.6) Wow. https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/ge...

https://arcprize.org/leaderboard $13.62 per task - so we need another 5-10 years for the price to run this to become reasonable? But the real question is if they just fit the model to the benchmark.

What’s reasonable? It’s less than minimum hourly wage in some countries.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#172
post #15

Google is absolutely running away with it. The greatest trick they ever pulled was letting people think they were behind.

Their models might be impressive, but their products absolutely suck donkey balls. I’ve given Gemini web/cli two months and ran away back to ChatGPT. Seriously, it would just COMPLETELY forget context mid dialog. When asked about improving air quality it just gave me a list of (mediocre) air purifiers without asking for any context whatsoever, and I can list thousands of conversations like that. Shopping or comparing…

Their models are absolutely not impressive.

Not a single person is using it for coding (outside of Google itself).

Maybe some people on a very generous free plan.

Their model is a fine mid 2025 model, backed by enormous compute resources and an army of GDM engineers to help the “researchers” keep the model on task as it traverses the “tree of thoughts”.

But that isn’t “the model” that’s an old model backed by massive money.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#173

Is it me or is the rate of model release is accelerating to an absurd degree? Today we have Gemini 3 Deep Think and GPT 5.3 Codex Spark. Yesterday we had GLM5 and MiniMax M2.5. Five days before that we had Opus 4.6 and GPT 5.3. Then maybe two weeks I think before that we had Kimi K2.5.

I'm having trouble just keeping track of all these different types of models. Is "Gemini 3 Deep Think" even technically a model? From what I've gathered, it is built on top of Gemini 3 Pro, and appears to be adding specific thinking capabilities, more akin to adding subagents than a truly new foundational model like Opus 4.6. Also, I don't understand the comments about Google being behind in agentic workflows. I know…

There are hints this is a preview to Gemini 3.1.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#174

Is it me or is the rate of model release is accelerating to an absurd degree? Today we have Gemini 3 Deep Think and GPT 5.3 Codex Spark. Yesterday we had GLM5 and MiniMax M2.5. Five days before that we had Opus 4.6 and GPT 5.3. Then maybe two weeks I think before that we had Kimi K2.5.

They are using the current models to help develop even smarter models. Each generation of model can help even more for the next generation. I don’t think it’s hyperbolic to say that we may be only a single digit number of years away from the singularity.

I must be holding these things wrong because I'm not seeing any of these God like superpowers everyone seem to enjoy.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#175

Is it me or is the rate of model release is accelerating to an absurd degree? Today we have Gemini 3 Deep Think and GPT 5.3 Codex Spark. Yesterday we had GLM5 and MiniMax M2.5. Five days before that we had Opus 4.6 and GPT 5.3. Then maybe two weeks I think before that we had Kimi K2.5.

I think it is because of the Chinese new year. The Chinese labs like to publish their models arround the Chinese new year, and the US labs do not want to let a DeepSeek R1 (20 January 2025) impact event happen again, so i guess they publish models that are more capable then what they imagine Chinese labs are yet capable of producing.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#177

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But wait two hours for what OpenAI has! I love the competition and how someone just a few days ago was telling how ARC-AGI-2 was proof that LLMs can't reason. The goalposts will shift again. I feel like most of human endeavor will soon be just about trying to continuously show that AI's don't have AGI.

"AGI" doesn't mean anything concrete, so it's all a bunch of non-sequiturs. Your goalposts don't exist. Anyone with any sense is interested in how well these tools work and how they can be harnessed, not some imaginary milestone that is not defined and cannot be measured.

I agree. I think the emergence of LLMs have shown that AGI really has no teeth. I think for decades the Turing test was viewed as the gold standard, but it's clear that there doesn't appear to be any good metric.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#178
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Weren't we barely scraping 1-10% on this with state of the art models a year ago and it was considered that this is the final boss, ie solve this and its almost AGI-like? I ask because I cannot distinguish all the benchmarks by heart.

François Chollet, creator of ARC-AGI, has consistently said that solving the benchmark does not mean we have AGI. It has always been meant as a stepping stone to encourage progress in the correct direction rather than as an indicator of reaching the destination. That's why he is working on ARC-AGI-3 (to be released in a few weeks) and ARC-AGI-4. His definition of reaching AGI, as I understand it, is when it becomes i…

https://x.com/fchollet/status/2022036543582638517

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#179
post #148

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why would they train on that? Why not just hire someone to make a few examples.

I look forward to them trying. I'll know when the pelican riding a bicycle is good but the ocelot riding a skateboard sucks.

But they could just train on an assortment of animals and vehicles. It's the kind of relatively narrow domain where NNs could reasonably interpolate.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#180
post #151

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Gemini's UX (and of course privacy cred as with anything Google) is the worst of all the AI apps. In the eyes of the Common Man, it's UI that will win out, and ChatGPT's is still the best.

Google privacy cred is ... excellent? The worst data breach I know of them having was a flaw that allowed access to names and emails of 500k users.

Link? Are you conflating with "500k Gmail accounts leaked [by a third party]" with Gmail having a breach?

Afaik, Google has had no breaches ever.

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