> The cost of turning written business logic into code has dropped to zero Tokens are free now?
> Or, at best, near-zero.
I mean, lots of numbers are near zero depending on your definition of near.
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#22I am thinking about this a lot right now. Pretty existential stuff. I think builders are gonna be fine. The type of programmer were people would put up with just because they could really go in their cave for a few days and come out with a bug fix that nobody else on the team could figure out is going to have a hard time. Interestingly AI coding is really good at that sort of thing and less good at fully grasping use…
All software engineers become pretty much the same in this world though. Anyone can sit in the meetings.
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#23> The cost of turning written business logic into code has dropped to zero Didn’t realize this was science fiction.
But it is true, the cost is effectively zero. There will be, for a long time, free models available and any one of them will give you code back, always!
They never refuse. Worst case scenario the good models ask for clarification.
The cost for producing code is zero and code producers are in a really bad spot.
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#24I personally love this development. Sure, I find some pleasure in writing code. But what I love most is mapping out a gnarly problem on pen and paper. Then the code is "just" an implementation detail. Guess I'm an ideas guy as per the author?
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#25When these vibe coded projects realise that maintenance, security updates, API changes are still needed. Get ready for a massive swing back to senior software developers being in demand.
Playing software maintainer while many vibe coded web apps aren't built with proper software architecture or practices only makes the swing back to senior engineers being in demand a possibility.
Good luck to those who are building 600K-LOC vibe coded web apps with 40+ APIs stitched together.
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#26> The cost of turning written business logic into code has dropped to zero Didn’t realize this was science fiction.
I swear all of these are coming from the prompt "hey chatgpt rewrite this article that got a lot of views"
I've seen non-technical people vibe code with agents. They're capable of producing janky, very basic CRUD apps. Code cost definitely ain't zero
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#27With all due respect to the author, this is a lot of words for not much substance. Rehashing the same thoughts everyone already thinks but not being bold enough to make a concrete prediction. This is the time for bold predictions, you’ve just told us we’re in a crucible moment yet you end the article passively….
Predictions
- Small companies using AI are going to kick the sh*t out of large companies that are slow to adapt.
- LLMs will penetrate more areas of our lives. Closer to the STTNG computer. They will be agents in the real life sense and possibly in the physical world as well (robots).
- ASICs will eat nVidia's lunch.
- We will see an explosion of software and we will also see more jobs for people who are able to maintain all this software (using AI tools). There is going to be a lot more custom software for very specific purposes.
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#28Earlier quoted context omitted.
Here is my bold prediction: 2026 is the year where companies start the lay offs. 2026 is the year where we all realise that we can be our own company and build the stuff in our dreams rather than the mundane crap we do at work. Honestly I am optimistic about computing in general. Llms will open things up for novices and experts alike. We can move into I the fields where we can use our brain power... But all we need i…
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I'm human?
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#29> The cost of turning written business logic into code has dropped to zero Tokens are free now?
Yes. Every platform offers free tokens generously.
That is a true statement. Might not be much, but is enough for you to produce some code and shit out a readme and then show on hacker news that your capable of pushing to git with the help of llms
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#30> The cost of turning written business logic into code has dropped to zero. Or, at best, near-zero.
Zero if you dont consider Anthropic's API pricing, the prompter's hourly rate and verification bottleneck.