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Data centers in space makes no sense

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Re: Data centers in space makes no sense

#311
post #222
post #149

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I wouldn’t credit science fiction for much of this. It appears to have come out of a crack pipe.

Can you smoke ketamine?

> Can you smoke ketamine?

Apparently [1]. But "when ketamine is heated, its chemical structure degrades, reducing its potency."

[1] https://innervoyagerecovery.com/can-you-smoke-ketamine/

(Going to go ahead and VPN to my home connection from this airport Wi-fi.)

Re: Data centers in space makes no sense

#312
post #262
post #115

I would not assume cooling has been worked out. Space is a vacuum. i.e. The lack-of-a-thing that makes a thermos great at keeping your drink hot. A satellite is, if nothing else, a fantastic thermos. A data center in space would necessarily rely completely on cooling by radiation, unlike a terrestrial data center that can make use of convection and conduction. You can't just pipe heat out into the atmosphere or build…

Can’t you heat exchange inside the satellite, and make one part of the satellite incredibly hot so that it radiates a lot and dissipates. This is just a question. I have no expertise at all with this.

You can. This is how it is currently done, but it is not easy. It needs to have a large enough surface area to radiate the heat, and also be protected from the sun (as to not collect extra heat). For a data centre, think of an at least 1000m2 heat exchange panel (likely more to train a frontier model).

Re: Data centers in space makes no sense

#313
> Ground-based solar panels have been getting more cost effective for decades and show no sign of slowing down.

I'm no expert on solar but I thought there was some upper limit on how much power ground-based solar panels can generate per area based on how much energy gets through the atmosphere all the way to ground - and that panel efficiency was approaching that limit.

However, I don't doubt ground-based panels can continue to improve in cost and other metrics and thus exert competitive pressure on space-based solutions.

Re: Data centers in space makes no sense

#314

Is there any insight into how Starlink solved cooling? One 'expert' insisted that there is no reason to expect that data center satellites would generate any more heat than starlinks.

So, most of the power that Starlink satellites use go into the comms, right? Blasting out electromagnetic radiation to receiver stations on earth, and also the laser(?) backhaul between satellites.

Modulo some efficiency losses, most of the electricity it generates is leaving the satellite. Contrast with a datacenter, where most of the energy is spent heating up the chips, and the rest is spent moving the heat away from those chips.

Re: Data centers in space makes no sense

#315

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This idea came from musk wanting to fold his X and xAI investments in with his (likely successful) spaceX IPO.

Yeah, if he gets more SpaceX shares in exchange for the xAI garbage shares then he wins, because the SpaceX shares will sell well.

[deleted]

Re: Data centers in space makes no sense

#316

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Its very simple, xAI needs money to win the AI race, so best option is to attach to Elon’s moneybank (spacex) to get cash without dilution

> win the AI race I keep seeing that term, but if it does not mean "AI arms race" or "AI surveillance race", what does it mean? Those are the only explanations that I have found, and neither is any race that I would like to see anyone win.

Being too far ahead for competitors to catch up, similar to how google won browsers, amazon won distribution, etc

Re: Data centers in space makes no sense

#317

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This idea came from musk wanting to fold his X and xAI investments in with his (likely successful) spaceX IPO.

Yeah, if he gets more SpaceX shares in exchange for the xAI garbage shares then he wins, because the SpaceX shares will sell well.

Also he can launder government funding for his AI company now

Re: Data centers in space makes no sense

#318
post #199

One way to work around the heat dissipation issues in space (and also on earth) is to move to computing systems that operate entirely at cryogenic temperatures to take advantage of superconducting circuitry. I've heard stories that over a decade ago teams inside hyperscalars had calculated that running completely cryogenically cooled data centers would be vastly cheaper than what we do now due to savings on resistive…

by my calculations, the heat dissipation isn't that big a deal take an h100 for example. it will need something like 1kW to operate. that's less than 4 square meters of solar panel at 70C, a reasonable temp for H100, a 4 square meter radiator can emit north of 2kW of energy into deep space seems to me like a 2x2x2 cube could house an H100 in space perhaps I'm missing something?

Heat travels when there is a thermal gradient. What thermally superconducting material are you going to make your cube out of that the surface temperature is exactly the same as the core temperature? If you don't have one, then to keep the h100 at 70c, the radiators have to be colder. How much more radiator area do you need then?

Have you considered the effects of insolation? Sunlight heats things too.

How efficient is your power supply and how much waste heat is generated delivering 1kW you your h100?

How do you move data between the ground and your satellite? How much power does that take?

If it's in LEO, how many thermal cycles can your h100 survive? If it's not in LEO, go back to the previous question and add an order of magnitude.

I could go on, but honestly those details - while individually solvable - don't matter because there is no world where you would not be better off taking the exact same h100 and installing it somewhere on the ground instead

Re: Data centers in space makes no sense

#319

It seems like every argument in favor of doing this is: "yeah sure but what if X was Y% cheaper?" And some of us are reading these things and trying to be polite. But at some point patience runs thin and the only response that breaks through the irrationality is some variation of "what if unicorns and centaurs had teamed up with Sauron?" The limit of the ratio of useful:useless "what if's" approaches zero.

With regards to a community, I once heard someone say that it takes 10 "atta boy"'s to counteract 1 "you suck".

I also remember, roughly 10 years ago, people saying that the amount of effort to discredit bullshit is wildly out of whack. Which makes bullshit basically asymmetric warfare.

So here we are, in this thread, actually spending time attempting to discredit bullshit.

Re: Data centers in space makes no sense

#320

> Ground-based solar panels have been getting more cost effective for decades and show no sign of slowing down. I'm no expert on solar but I thought there was some upper limit on how much power ground-based solar panels can generate per area based on how much energy gets through the atmosphere all the way to ground - and that panel efficiency was approaching that limit. However, I don't doubt ground-based panels can…

Requirements for power still don't come close to total or practical surface area. If we get to that point, space collectors with microwave beams to the ground are viable.
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